2026 federal candidate record

Marisa Simonetti

Name: Marisa Simonetti 2026 FEC campaign finance record
Creator: Federal Election Commission

Minnesota U.S. Senate

Marisa Simonetti is included in the 2026 FEC filing records for Minnesota U.S. Senate. Explore the available source records below. A federal filing does not establish ballot qualification.

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POLLING · SURVEYS, NOT PREDICTIONS

Polls that include Marisa Simonetti

3 survey records

Individual surveys of 2026 contests, including earlier cycle history from 2025. Matchups and populations stay separate; older or hypothetical matchups do not establish who is on the current ballot.

Simple average, not a forecast

Each pollster’s latest general-election survey ending within the last 30 days, with equal weight. Reviewed candidate identities join spelling variants; different matchups and voter populations stay separate. Percentages describe reported support, not a chance of winning.

Newest fieldwork appears first. When dates tie, the default favors more pollsters not marked internal or partisan in this 30-day window. Source labels remain visible; this is not a pollster-quality rating.

Likely voters · 2 polls · 1 of 2 internal or partisan surveys

Oct 1, 2026–Oct 12, 2026 · Lead between the two highest answers: 5.5 percentage points

Reported answer	Average support
Margaret Flanagan	47.5%
Michele Tafoya	42.0%
Marisa Simonetti	3.0%
Rebecca Whiting	2.0%

Included surveys & calculation

SurveyUSA · fieldwork ended Oct 12, 2026 ↗
GQR · fieldwork ended Oct 4, 2026 ↗ · Internal or partisan survey

Add each answer’s reported support across these 2 surveys and divide by 2. No house effects, sample weights, undecided allocation or error band is applied. Incomplete numeric matchups are excluded from this calculation but remain in the survey history. Full methodology →

SurveyUSA2%Marisa Simonetti · 2026 MinnesotaFieldwork Oct 8, 2026 – Oct 12, 2026
Likely voters · 718 people surveyedSponsor: KSTP-TV (St. Paul), KAAL-TV (Austin), WDIO-DT (Duluth)Read the original survey GQR4%Marisa Simonetti · 2026 MinnesotaFieldwork Oct 1, 2026 – Oct 4, 2026
Likely voters · 800 people surveyedPartisan label: DEMSponsor: Senate Majority PACRead the original survey SurveyUSA2%Marisa Simonetti · 2026 MinnesotaFieldwork Sep 9, 2026 – Sep 14, 2026
Likely voters · 654 people surveyedOlder than 30 days · historical observationSponsor: KSTP-TV (St. Paul), KAAL-TV (Austin), WDIO-DT (Duluth)Read the original survey

Most recent available observations, not an average or a ranking. Primary, general-election and hypothetical matchups may differ; read the full questions and other candidates’ results below.

Choose a surveyed matchup and population

Hover or tap a date to see the survey and source.

Margaret FlanaganMarisa SimonettiMichele TafoyaRebecca Whiting

Party colors: Republican red, Democratic blue, Independent purple. Other or unmatched affiliations are gray. Dash patterns distinguish candidates sharing a color.

Dots show reported support. Lines connect surveys over time—not an average or forecast. Pollsters can differ. Missing values and multiple surveys ending on the same date break the lines.

How to read this chart

No average, trend estimate, or win probability. Different matchups and populations are not combined. Dates mark the last day people were surveyed. The vertical scale always starts at zero; use “Full 0–100% scale” to compare charts on the same scale. The number of people surveyed is the survey sample size, not the number supporting a candidate. Select “Survey source” to inspect every report, including overlapping dots.

Latest surveys · selected matchup

Individual reports. Original sources and methodology below.

Reported support

Marisa SimonettiNo party listed2%
Michele TafoyaRepublican42%
Margaret FlanaganDemocratic-Farmer-LaborSurvey wording: Peggy Flanagan45%
Rebecca WhitingLibertarian2%

0–100% scale · Listed alphabetically

Sample: 718 people surveyed
Population: Likely voters

Survey details & methodology

Reported margin of error: Not supplied in this feed
Method: Not supplied in this feed
Sponsors: KSTP-TV (St. Paul), KAAL-TV (Austin), WDIO-DT (Duluth)
Pollster/sponsor partisan label: Not supplied
Internal poll: Not marked internal by provider
Added by provider: Oct 15, 2026
Provider ID: us-202sur63027f3e
Party color sources: Peggy Flanagan: Democratic-Farmer-Labor; Michele Tafoya: Republican; Marisa Simonetti: No party listed; Rebecca Whiting: Libertarian
Display-name sources: Peggy Flanagan → Margaret Flanagan

Reported support

Marisa SimonettiNo party listed4%
Michele TafoyaRepublican42%
Margaret FlanaganDemocratic-Farmer-LaborSurvey wording: Peggy Flanagan50%
Rebecca WhitingLibertarian2%

0–100% scale · Listed alphabetically

Sample: 800 people surveyed
Population: Likely voters

Survey details & methodology

Reported margin of error: Not supplied in this feed
Method: Not supplied in this feed
Sponsors: Senate Majority PAC
Pollster/sponsor partisan label: DEM
Internal poll: Not marked internal by provider
Added by provider: Oct 9, 2026
Provider ID: us-202gqr63b7a4d3
Party color sources: Peggy Flanagan: Democratic-Farmer-Labor; Michele Tafoya: Republican; Marisa Simonetti: No party listed; Rebecca Whiting: Libertarian
Display-name sources: Peggy Flanagan → Margaret Flanagan

Reported support

Marisa SimonettiNo party listed2%
Michele TafoyaRepublican42%
Margaret FlanaganDemocratic-Farmer-LaborSurvey wording: Peggy Flanagan42%
Rebecca WhitingLibertarian2%

0–100% scale · Listed alphabetically

Sample: 654 people surveyed
Population: Likely voters

Survey details & methodology

Reported margin of error: Not supplied in this feed
Method: Not supplied in this feed
Sponsors: KSTP-TV (St. Paul), KAAL-TV (Austin), WDIO-DT (Duluth)
Pollster/sponsor partisan label: Not supplied
Internal poll: Not marked internal by provider
Added by provider: Sep 17, 2026
Provider ID: us-202sura38c6933
Party color sources: Peggy Flanagan: Democratic-Farmer-Labor; Michele Tafoya: Republican; Marisa Simonetti: No party listed; Rebecca Whiting: Libertarian
Display-name sources: Peggy Flanagan → Margaret Flanagan

Labels and figures are supplied by VoteHub. A listed matchup does not establish ballot qualification or primary/general-election status unless the source explicitly says so. Unlisted responses may include undecided voters or other choices; the displayed figures are not rescaled to total 100%.

Polling compilation: VoteHub · CC BY 4.0. Election.org normalizes dates, matches races, and visualizes reported results; it does not estimate outcomes. Original survey links are attached to each report.

Automatic hourly sync. Across all feeds, the latest survey ended 2026-10-15. Check the field dates above for this selection. Feed update status →

Last successful feed updates

Senate: 10/19/2026, 7:17:20 AM UTC · 474 survey records
House: 10/19/2026, 7:17:20 AM UTC · 133 survey records
Governor: 10/19/2026, 7:17:20 AM UTC · 349 survey records
National preference: 10/19/2026, 7:17:20 AM UTC · 546 survey records

An update time is when we checked the feed, not when a survey was conducted. Coverage is not exhaustive.

POLYMARKET · NOT A POLL

Market context for Marisa Simonetti

Contract prices reflect trading—not voter support, a poll result, or an Election.org forecast. Coverage and liquidity vary. Prices are not guarantees.

2026 MN U.S. Senate

These are party-winner contracts, not Marisa Simonetti’s individual odds. Independents and other parties are not represented by a Democratic or Republican contract. Provider display names do not change the contract’s party-based rules.

Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?

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Will the Republicans win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?

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All provider contracts for this race ↗ · Race/contract match checked 2026-10-06. This is a match-check date, not a price timestamp or confirmation of ballot qualification.

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Candidate profile

About Marisa Simonetti

Office soughtU.S. Senate · MNFederal Election Commission

Officeholder statusChallengerCurrent office roster · checked 2026-10-16

Activity timeline

Filing-driven activity & election calendar

Marisa Simonetti 2026 timeline

REAL DATES

This chronology combines dated FEC filing coverage with the official 2026 congressional election calendar. It does not predict qualification, outcomes, or whether a conditional runoff will occur.

Aug 11, 2026

Scheduled primary election

Congressional primary date listed in the FEC's 2026 calendar.

Official election schedule · schedule subject to change

Nov 3, 2026

Federal general election

Election schedule for the verified seat, not proof of this person's ballot qualification. State and local election officials administer elections.

Official election schedule · schedule subject to change

Election dates are transcribed from the FEC's calendar as published and are subject to change. The FEC does not administer elections; confirm dates and ballot status with the relevant state election authority.

Official filing details

Official record

Candidate filing details

2026 CYCLE

Candidate: Marisa Simonetti
Office sought: U.S. Senate — Minnesota
Party affiliation: Non-Party
Incumbency: Challenger
Candidate status: FEC status not current
FEC candidate ID: S6MN00481

Other records in this race

Explore the race

Other FEC records in the Minnesota U.S. Senate race

These links are a neutral path through other public 2026 FEC records filed for the same office. Appearance here does not establish ballot qualification.

Browse every Minnesota candidate record →

About FEC records and ballot qualification

FEC registration means this person has a federal candidate record or appeared in a federal candidate filing. State election authorities determine ballot access. Election.org presents the filing without ranking or endorsement. Party labels describe the source affiliation.

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