Shayne Neumann (Australian Labor Party) won Blair after preferences by 13,359 votes over Carl Mutzelburg (Liberal National Party of Queensland).
After preferences, Shayne Neumann received 65,156 votes (55.71%). Carl Mutzelburg received 51,797 votes (44.29%).
Ranked here by first-preference votes. The elected member is determined by the full preferential count, not necessarily the primary-vote order.
| Primary rank | Candidate | Party | Ballot | First preferences | Primary share | Final TCP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Shayne NeumannElectedAEC historical incumbent marker | Australian Labor Party | 6 | 42,825 | 36.62% | 65,156 · 55.71% · +0.48 pp swing |
| 2 | Carl Mutzelburg | Liberal National Party of Queensland | 1 | 31,797 | 27.19% | 51,797 · 44.29% · -0.48 pp swing |
| 3 | Paul Toner | The Greens | 8 | 12,104 | 10.35% | Not a TCP finalist |
| 4 | Brendan Kross | Pauline Hanson's One Nation | 10 | 11,344 | 9.70% | Not a TCP finalist |
| 5 | Anthony Hopkins | Legalise Cannabis Party | 9 | 5,353 | 4.58% | Not a TCP finalist |
| 6 | Kathryn Chadwick | Gerard Rennick People First | 3 | 4,421 | 3.78% | Not a TCP finalist |
| 7 | Edward Mcdonald | Trumpet of Patriots | 5 | 3,769 | 3.22% | Not a TCP finalist |
| 8 | John Frederick Purdon | Family First | 7 | 2,334 | 2.00% | Not a TCP finalist |
| 9 | Angela Lowery | Animal Justice Party | 4 | 1,874 | 1.60% | Not a TCP finalist |
| 10 | Anthony Bull | Libertarian | 2 | 1,132 | 0.97% | Not a TCP finalist |
These are official final results for the 3 May 2025 federal election. They are historical election records, not a claim about the current House membership or future candidacies.
Candidate biographies, policy positions, political finance, current tenure, and future candidacy remain separate sourced layers.
members: 2bb8da54d136fcb93b2b775d59f0d234998583966e00d35645f4df8e4d38b32ccandidates: b4ff38969ed49fc09c89a5c84a7d5b6a4046ad53b5f4e3492e0e4e73beba17a9tcp: 870d7d326df7f59cf3c0638045eb0a42722f39b2b40b1b7e475d31a15bd221b7turnout: 37ae6598a2b4a54f6a8ad83ee787a1842d73ce82b9a405db3d00d765c34c1526informal: 52d6201910a2401fbbf3ecb3f87c089aaff268b19ed9f5b463489fcf322078de