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2026 · Governor

Florida governor election

Election Day: November 3, 2026. Meet the published candidates, compare reported surveys and make your voting plan.

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Florida

Who is on the November ballot?

November 3, 2026 · 8 printed ballot names · alphabetical

Official November list checked .

November write-in information

Write-in rules and filing deadlines vary by office and state. Check the current official list; the printed roster alone does not establish whether write-ins are eligible. Official write-in information ↗

Dates for November 3

Download calendar ↓

Partial coverage: only the dated entries below have been checked. Confirm other deadlines and exceptions with your election office.

Florida · Sourced election dates
ActionDateDetails and source
Register online
Passed
Registration deadline for the general election.
Official source ↗
Register by mail
Passed
Registration deadline; confirm method-specific receipt/postmark rules.
Official source ↗
Register in person
Passed
Registration deadline for the general election.
Official source ↗
Early voting begins
1 day left
Mandatory statewide early-voting period begins; counties may offer October 19–23.
Official source ↗
Early voting ends
8 days left
Mandatory period ends; counties may also offer November 1.
Official source ↗
Request mail ballot
Passed
Request for a mailed ballot must reach the county supervisor by 5 p.m.
Official source ↗
Return ballot
11 days left
Domestic voted ballots must reach the supervisor by 7 p.m. local time; overseas rules differ.
Official source ↗

Checked 2026-10-16. Confirm local details and exceptions with your election office.

POLLING · SURVEYS, NOT PREDICTIONS

What do the polls say?

33 survey records

Individual surveys of 2026 contests, including earlier cycle history from 2025. Matchups and populations stay separate; older or hypothetical matchups do not establish who is on the current ballot.

Simple average, not a forecast

Each pollster’s latest general-election survey ending within the last 30 days, with equal weight. Reviewed candidate identities join spelling variants; different matchups and voter populations stay separate. Percentages describe reported support, not a chance of winning.

Newest fieldwork appears first. When dates tie, the default favors more pollsters not marked internal or partisan in this 30-day window. Source labels remain visible; this is not a pollster-quality rating.

Likely voters · 7 polls · 2 of 7 internal or partisan surveys

Sep 28, 2026–Oct 20, 2026 · Lead between the two highest answers: 3.8 percentage points

Reported answerAverage support
Byron Donalds48.5%
David Jolly44.8%
Included surveys & calculation

Add each answer’s reported support across these 7 surveys and divide by 7. No house effects, sample weights, undecided allocation or error band is applied. Incomplete numeric matchups are excluded from this calculation but remain in the survey history. Full methodology →

Registered voters · 2 polls

Sep 28, 2026–Oct 15, 2026 · Lead between the two highest answers: 8.5 percentage points

Reported answerAverage support
Byron Donalds49.0%
David Jolly40.5%
Included surveys & calculation

Add each answer’s reported support across these 2 surveys and divide by 2. No house effects, sample weights, undecided allocation or error band is applied. Incomplete numeric matchups are excluded from this calculation but remain in the survey history. Full methodology →

Hover or tap a date to see the survey and source.

Polling history for the selected matchup21 survey observations. Vertical scale: reported support from 0 to 60 percent. Select a survey date to read its source. Arrow keys move between dates. Exact figures and source links follow in the survey reports.0%15%30%45%60%Byron Donalds: 49% · co/efficient · Oct 20, 2026 · 1,014 people surveyed · https://battlegrounds.coefficient.org/fl/Byron Donalds: 51.7% · ActiVote · Oct 19, 2026 · 400 people surveyed · https://www.activote.net/polls/2026/fl-governor/Byron Donalds: 49% · University of North Florida · Oct 19, 2026 · 1,378 people surveyed · https://static1.squarespace.com/static/6994d571bce3436c60d86870/t/6ad8a5ec13c20404a1f8052b/1792583148294/UNF+PORL+FALL+Statewide+2026+FLLV+-+Press+Release+1021+EMBARGO.pdfByron Donalds: 47% · Change Research · Oct 10, 2026 · 920 people surveyed · https://changeresearch.com/research/2026/2026-10-12-florida-aapor-methodology-statementByron Donalds: 46% · MDW Communications · Oct 10, 2026 · 2,351 people surveyed · https://www.mdwcomm.com/media/florida-statewide-poll-october-2026.htmlByron Donalds: 45% · St. Pete Polls · Oct 7, 2026 · 836 people surveyed · https://floridapolitics.com/archives/823921-new-st-pete-polls-survey-has-ashley-moody-at-47-angie-nixon-at-45-and-the-senate-race-still-inside-the-margin-of-error/Byron Donalds: 52% · Targoz Market Research · Oct 4, 2026 · 857 people surveyed · https://jmipoll.comByron Donalds: 46% · Change Research · Sep 27, 2026 · 1,063 people surveyed · https://changeresearch.com/research/2026/2026-09-28-florida-aapor-methodology-statementByron Donalds: 51% · Stetson University Center for Public Opinion Research · Sep 21, 2026 · 830 people surveyed · https://www.stetson.edu/artsci/cpor/media/cpor-sept.-2026-poll-final.pdfByron Donalds: 43.5% · St. Pete Polls · Sep 17, 2026 · 913 people surveyed · https://floridapolitics.com/archives/820638-poll-byron-donalds-44-david-jolly-43-in-dead-heat-race-for-florida-governor/Byron Donalds: 46% · University of North Florida · Jul 17, 2026 · 848 people surveyed · https://www.unfporl.org/presser-pageByron Donalds: 42% · Change Research · May 16, 2026 · 1,593 people surveyed · https://changeresearch.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/05/Deep-Dive-into-Florida-1.pdfByron Donalds: 47% · Cherry Communications · May 9, 2026 · 604 people surveyed · https://www.flchamber.com/new-florida-chamber-statewide-poll-shows-ashley-moody-byron-donalds-leading-potential-democratic-opponents-in-november-ballot-testByron Donalds: 40% · The Public Sentiment Institute · Apr 27, 2026 · 687 people surveyed · https://docs.google.com/document/d/1qaGOwbWKWk-5XYy9sSVIl06Njp4eAK3L9kYx1iKYPuI/edit?tab=t.0Byron Donalds: 49% · Echelon Insights · Apr 9, 2026 · 406 people surveyed · https://netchoice.org/wp-content/uploads/2026/04/NetChoice-Apr-2026-National-Antitrust-Survey-Topline.pdfByron Donalds: 41.2% · MDW Communications · Apr 3, 2026 · 1,834 people surveyed · https://files.constantcontact.com/633ccf07901/581e6534-4e18-43a0-bffb-7cc7221a349a.pdf?rdr=trueByron Donalds: 44.2% · Emerson College · Mar 31, 2026 · 1,125 people surveyed · https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1b8oV9f1Zzl_Uew5WPkIIeFLjVMJuHNf7/edit?gid=1842029095#gid=1842029095Byron Donalds: 42% · University of North Florida · Mar 2, 2026 · 786 people surveyed · https://static1.squarespace.com/static/6994d571bce3436c60d86870/t/69a83673b961e1161d90f552/1772631667881/PORL+2026+Spring+Statewide+LV+-+EMBARGO+3.4.26.pdfByron Donalds: 45% · University of North Florida · Oct 25, 2025 · 728 people surveyed · https://static1.squarespace.com/static/6994d571bce3436c60d86870/t/69962e376fb07f4b5e4c663a/1771449911414/UNF+PORL+Fall+Statewide+2025+LV+-+Press+Release+-+REVISED.pdfByron Donalds: 49% · McLaughlin & Associates · Aug 27, 2025 · 800 people surveyed · https://floridapolitics.com/archives/755696-new-poll-shows-byron-donalds-with-8-point-edge-on-david-jolly/Byron Donalds: 36.7% · Victory Insights · Jun 10, 2025 · 600 people surveyed · https://irp.cdn-website.com/07e08705/files/uploaded/PollSummary_FL-Gov_06-11-2025.pdfDavid Jolly: 40% · co/efficient · Oct 20, 2026 · 1,014 people surveyed · https://battlegrounds.coefficient.org/fl/David Jolly: 48.3% · ActiVote · Oct 19, 2026 · 400 people surveyed · https://www.activote.net/polls/2026/fl-governor/David Jolly: 47% · University of North Florida · Oct 19, 2026 · 1,378 people surveyed · https://static1.squarespace.com/static/6994d571bce3436c60d86870/t/6ad8a5ec13c20404a1f8052b/1792583148294/UNF+PORL+FALL+Statewide+2026+FLLV+-+Press+Release+1021+EMBARGO.pdfDavid Jolly: 47% · Change Research · Oct 10, 2026 · 920 people surveyed · https://changeresearch.com/research/2026/2026-10-12-florida-aapor-methodology-statementDavid Jolly: 44% · MDW Communications · Oct 10, 2026 · 2,351 people surveyed · https://www.mdwcomm.com/media/florida-statewide-poll-october-2026.htmlDavid Jolly: 45% · St. Pete Polls · Oct 7, 2026 · 836 people surveyed · https://floridapolitics.com/archives/823921-new-st-pete-polls-survey-has-ashley-moody-at-47-angie-nixon-at-45-and-the-senate-race-still-inside-the-margin-of-error/David Jolly: 42% · Targoz Market Research · Oct 4, 2026 · 857 people surveyed · https://jmipoll.comDavid Jolly: 48% · Change Research · Sep 27, 2026 · 1,063 people surveyed · https://changeresearch.com/research/2026/2026-09-28-florida-aapor-methodology-statementDavid Jolly: 39% · Stetson University Center for Public Opinion Research · Sep 21, 2026 · 830 people surveyed · https://www.stetson.edu/artsci/cpor/media/cpor-sept.-2026-poll-final.pdfDavid Jolly: 43.4% · St. Pete Polls · Sep 17, 2026 · 913 people surveyed · https://floridapolitics.com/archives/820638-poll-byron-donalds-44-david-jolly-43-in-dead-heat-race-for-florida-governor/David Jolly: 41% · University of North Florida · Jul 17, 2026 · 848 people surveyed · https://www.unfporl.org/presser-pageDavid Jolly: 46% · Change Research · May 16, 2026 · 1,593 people surveyed · https://changeresearch.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/05/Deep-Dive-into-Florida-1.pdfDavid Jolly: 39% · Cherry Communications · May 9, 2026 · 604 people surveyed · https://www.flchamber.com/new-florida-chamber-statewide-poll-shows-ashley-moody-byron-donalds-leading-potential-democratic-opponents-in-november-ballot-testDavid Jolly: 40% · The Public Sentiment Institute · Apr 27, 2026 · 687 people surveyed · https://docs.google.com/document/d/1qaGOwbWKWk-5XYy9sSVIl06Njp4eAK3L9kYx1iKYPuI/edit?tab=t.0David Jolly: 43% · Echelon Insights · Apr 9, 2026 · 406 people surveyed · https://netchoice.org/wp-content/uploads/2026/04/NetChoice-Apr-2026-National-Antitrust-Survey-Topline.pdfDavid Jolly: 40.5% · MDW Communications · Apr 3, 2026 · 1,834 people surveyed · https://files.constantcontact.com/633ccf07901/581e6534-4e18-43a0-bffb-7cc7221a349a.pdf?rdr=trueDavid Jolly: 39.4% · Emerson College · Mar 31, 2026 · 1,125 people surveyed · https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1b8oV9f1Zzl_Uew5WPkIIeFLjVMJuHNf7/edit?gid=1842029095#gid=1842029095David Jolly: 36% · University of North Florida · Mar 2, 2026 · 786 people surveyed · https://static1.squarespace.com/static/6994d571bce3436c60d86870/t/69a83673b961e1161d90f552/1772631667881/PORL+2026+Spring+Statewide+LV+-+EMBARGO+3.4.26.pdfDavid Jolly: 34% · University of North Florida · Oct 25, 2025 · 728 people surveyed · https://static1.squarespace.com/static/6994d571bce3436c60d86870/t/69962e376fb07f4b5e4c663a/1771449911414/UNF+PORL+Fall+Statewide+2025+LV+-+Press+Release+-+REVISED.pdfDavid Jolly: 41% · McLaughlin & Associates · Aug 27, 2025 · 800 people surveyed · https://floridapolitics.com/archives/755696-new-poll-shows-byron-donalds-with-8-point-edge-on-david-jolly/David Jolly: 31.4% · Victory Insights · Jun 10, 2025 · 600 people surveyed · https://irp.cdn-website.com/07e08705/files/uploaded/PollSummary_FL-Gov_06-11-2025.pdfJun 10, 2025Oct 20, 2026
Byron DonaldsDavid Jolly

Party colors: Republican red, Democratic blue, Independent purple. Other or unmatched affiliations are gray. Dash patterns distinguish candidates sharing a color.

Dots show reported support. Lines connect surveys over time—not an average or forecast. Pollsters can differ. Missing values and multiple surveys ending on the same date break the lines.

How to read this chart

No average, trend estimate, or win probability. Different matchups and populations are not combined. Dates mark the last day people were surveyed. The vertical scale always starts at zero; use “Full 0–100% scale” to compare charts on the same scale. The number of people surveyed is the survey sample size, not the number supporting a candidate. Select “Survey source” to inspect every report, including overlapping dots.

Individual survey reports (21)

Latest surveys · selected matchup

Individual reports. Original sources and methodology below.

2026 Florida

co/efficient

Fieldwork –
Reported support
  • Byron DonaldsRepublican49%
  • David JollyDemocratic40%

0–100% scale · Listed alphabetically

Sample
1,014 people surveyed
Population
Likely voters
Survey details & methodology
Reported margin of error
Not supplied in this feed
Method
Not supplied in this feed
Sponsors
Not supplied in this feed
Pollster/sponsor partisan label
REP
Internal poll
Not marked internal by provider
Added by provider
Provider ID
gov202co/bb858b1c
2026 Florida

ActiVote

Fieldwork –
Reported support
  • Byron DonaldsRepublican51.7%
  • David JollyDemocratic48.3%

0–100% scale · Listed alphabetically

Sample
400 people surveyed
Population
Likely voters
Survey details & methodology
Reported margin of error
Not supplied in this feed
Method
Not supplied in this feed
Sponsors
Not supplied in this feed
Pollster/sponsor partisan label
Not supplied
Internal poll
Not marked internal by provider
Added by provider
Provider ID
gov202act3d1f5d54
Fieldwork –
Reported support
  • Byron DonaldsRepublican49%
  • David JollyDemocratic47%

0–100% scale · Listed alphabetically

Sample
1,378 people surveyed
Population
Likely voters
Survey details & methodology
Reported margin of error
Not supplied in this feed
Method
Not supplied in this feed
Sponsors
Not supplied in this feed
Pollster/sponsor partisan label
Not supplied
Internal poll
Not marked internal by provider
Added by provider
Provider ID
gov202uni6ec2ef24
2026 Florida

Change Research

Fieldwork –
Reported support
  • Byron DonaldsRepublican47%
  • David JollyDemocratic47%

0–100% scale · Listed alphabetically

Sample
920 people surveyed
Population
Likely voters
Survey details & methodology
Reported margin of error
Not supplied in this feed
Method
Not supplied in this feed
Sponsors
Freedom Project USA
Pollster/sponsor partisan label
DEM
Internal poll
Not marked internal by provider
Added by provider
Provider ID
gov202chaea67d341
Fieldwork –
Reported support
  • Byron DonaldsRepublican46%
  • David JollyDemocratic44%

0–100% scale · Listed alphabetically

Sample
2,351 people surveyed
Population
Likely voters
Survey details & methodology
Reported margin of error
Not supplied in this feed
Method
Not supplied in this feed
Sponsors
EDGE Communications
Pollster/sponsor partisan label
Not supplied
Internal poll
Not marked internal by provider
Added by provider
Provider ID
gov202mdwc8b1a4b5
2026 Florida

St. Pete Polls

Fieldwork –
Reported support
  • Byron DonaldsRepublican45%
  • David JollyDemocratic45%

0–100% scale · Listed alphabetically

Sample
836 people surveyed
Population
Likely voters
Survey details & methodology
Reported margin of error
Not supplied in this feed
Method
Not supplied in this feed
Sponsors
Florida Politics
Pollster/sponsor partisan label
Not supplied
Internal poll
Not marked internal by provider
Added by provider
Provider ID
gov202st.5da962b0
Fieldwork –
Reported support
  • Byron DonaldsRepublican52%
  • David JollyDemocratic42%

0–100% scale · Listed alphabetically

Sample
857 people surveyed
Population
Likely voters
Survey details & methodology
Reported margin of error
Not supplied in this feed
Method
Not supplied in this feed
Sponsors
The James Madison Institute
Pollster/sponsor partisan label
Not supplied
Internal poll
Not marked internal by provider
Added by provider
Provider ID
gov202tar4f4b4cfb
2026 Florida

Change Research

Fieldwork –
Reported support
  • Byron DonaldsRepublican46%
  • David JollyDemocratic48%

0–100% scale · Listed alphabetically

Sample
1,063 people surveyed
Population
Likely voters
Survey details & methodology
Reported margin of error
Not supplied in this feed
Method
Not supplied in this feed
Sponsors
Freedom Project USA
Pollster/sponsor partisan label
Not supplied
Internal poll
Not marked internal by provider
Added by provider
Provider ID
gov202cha9102cf63

Labels and figures are supplied by VoteHub. A listed matchup does not establish ballot qualification or primary/general-election status unless the source explicitly says so. Unlisted responses may include undecided voters or other choices; the displayed figures are not rescaled to total 100%.

Polling compilation: VoteHub · CC BY 4.0. Election.org normalizes dates, matches races, and visualizes reported results; it does not estimate outcomes. Original survey links are attached to each report.

Automatic hourly sync. Across all feeds, the latest survey ended 2026-10-22. Check the field dates above for this selection. Feed update status →

Last successful feed updates
  • Senate: 10/23/2026, 10:17:20 PM UTC · 511 survey records
  • House: 10/23/2026, 10:17:20 PM UTC · 173 survey records
  • Governor: 10/23/2026, 10:17:20 PM UTC · 391 survey records
  • National preference: 10/23/2026, 10:17:20 PM UTC · 545 survey records

An update time is when we checked the feed, not when a survey was conducted. Coverage is not exhaustive.

Follow campaign money

Governor campaigns file with their state’s campaign-finance authorities. Federal candidate totals do not describe this race.

SECRETARY OF STATE ↗

FLORIDA ELECTIONS COMMISSION ↗

State campaign-finance sources →

No verified prediction-market match is connected for this race yet. See national House and Senate market prices →

Election inventory: National Governors Association ↗ · checked 2026-10-11. Ballot status comes from the separate state certification when present.