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2026 · Governor

Florida governor polls

Reported survey matchups, with the original sources and methodological details. Names tested in a survey are not a certified candidate list.

POLLING · SURVEYS, NOT PREDICTIONS

What do the polls say?

17 survey records

Hover or tap a date to see the survey and source.

Polling history for the selected matchup9 survey observations. Vertical scale: reported support from 0 to 60 percent. Select a survey date to read its source. Arrow keys move between dates. Exact figures and source links follow in the table.0%15%30%45%60%Byron Donalds: 43.5% · St. Pete Polls · Sep 17, 2026 · 913 people surveyed · https://floridapolitics.com/archives/820638-poll-byron-donalds-44-david-jolly-43-in-dead-heat-race-for-florida-governor/Byron Donalds: 46% · University of North Florida · Jul 17, 2026 · 848 people surveyed · https://www.unfporl.org/presser-pageByron Donalds: 42% · Change Research · May 16, 2026 · 1,593 people surveyed · https://changeresearch.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/05/Deep-Dive-into-Florida-1.pdfByron Donalds: 47% · Cherry Communications · May 9, 2026 · 604 people surveyed · https://www.flchamber.com/new-florida-chamber-statewide-poll-shows-ashley-moody-byron-donalds-leading-potential-democratic-opponents-in-november-ballot-testByron Donalds: 40% · The Public Sentiment Institute · Apr 27, 2026 · 687 people surveyed · https://docs.google.com/document/d/1qaGOwbWKWk-5XYy9sSVIl06Njp4eAK3L9kYx1iKYPuI/edit?tab=t.0Byron Donalds: 49% · Echelon Insights · Apr 9, 2026 · 406 people surveyed · https://netchoice.org/wp-content/uploads/2026/04/NetChoice-Apr-2026-National-Antitrust-Survey-Topline.pdfByron Donalds: 41.2% · MDW Communications · Apr 3, 2026 · 1,834 people surveyed · https://files.constantcontact.com/633ccf07901/581e6534-4e18-43a0-bffb-7cc7221a349a.pdf?rdr=trueByron Donalds: 44.2% · Emerson College · Mar 31, 2026 · 1,125 people surveyed · https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1b8oV9f1Zzl_Uew5WPkIIeFLjVMJuHNf7/edit?gid=1842029095#gid=1842029095Byron Donalds: 42% · University of North Florida · Mar 2, 2026 · 786 people surveyed · https://static1.squarespace.com/static/6994d571bce3436c60d86870/t/69a83673b961e1161d90f552/1772631667881/PORL+2026+Spring+Statewide+LV+-+EMBARGO+3.4.26.pdfDavid Jolly: 43.4% · St. Pete Polls · Sep 17, 2026 · 913 people surveyed · https://floridapolitics.com/archives/820638-poll-byron-donalds-44-david-jolly-43-in-dead-heat-race-for-florida-governor/David Jolly: 41% · University of North Florida · Jul 17, 2026 · 848 people surveyed · https://www.unfporl.org/presser-pageDavid Jolly: 46% · Change Research · May 16, 2026 · 1,593 people surveyed · https://changeresearch.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/05/Deep-Dive-into-Florida-1.pdfDavid Jolly: 39% · Cherry Communications · May 9, 2026 · 604 people surveyed · https://www.flchamber.com/new-florida-chamber-statewide-poll-shows-ashley-moody-byron-donalds-leading-potential-democratic-opponents-in-november-ballot-testDavid Jolly: 40% · The Public Sentiment Institute · Apr 27, 2026 · 687 people surveyed · https://docs.google.com/document/d/1qaGOwbWKWk-5XYy9sSVIl06Njp4eAK3L9kYx1iKYPuI/edit?tab=t.0David Jolly: 43% · Echelon Insights · Apr 9, 2026 · 406 people surveyed · https://netchoice.org/wp-content/uploads/2026/04/NetChoice-Apr-2026-National-Antitrust-Survey-Topline.pdfDavid Jolly: 40.5% · MDW Communications · Apr 3, 2026 · 1,834 people surveyed · https://files.constantcontact.com/633ccf07901/581e6534-4e18-43a0-bffb-7cc7221a349a.pdf?rdr=trueDavid Jolly: 39.4% · Emerson College · Mar 31, 2026 · 1,125 people surveyed · https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1b8oV9f1Zzl_Uew5WPkIIeFLjVMJuHNf7/edit?gid=1842029095#gid=1842029095David Jolly: 36% · University of North Florida · Mar 2, 2026 · 786 people surveyed · https://static1.squarespace.com/static/6994d571bce3436c60d86870/t/69a83673b961e1161d90f552/1772631667881/PORL+2026+Spring+Statewide+LV+-+EMBARGO+3.4.26.pdfMar 2, 2026Sep 17, 2026
Byron DonaldsDavid Jolly

Dots show reported support. Lines connect surveys over time—not an average or forecast. Pollsters can differ. Missing values and multiple surveys ending on the same date break the lines.

How to read this chart

No average, trend estimate, or win probability. Different matchups and populations are not combined. Dates mark the last day people were surveyed. The vertical scale always starts at zero; use “Full 0–100% scale” to compare charts on the same scale. The number of people surveyed is the survey sample size, not the number supporting a candidate. Select “Survey source” to inspect every report, including overlapping dots.

Latest surveys · selected matchup

Reported survey results and methodological disclosures
Survey & field datesReported supportSample & disclosures
St. Pete Polls
Sep 15, 2026Sep 17, 2026
2026 Florida
Byron Donalds: 43.5%
David Jolly: 43.4%
Likely voters · 913 people surveyed
Survey details
Reported margin of error: Not supplied in this feed
Method: Not supplied in this feed
Sponsors: Florida Politics
Partisan label: Not supplied
Internal poll: Not marked internal by provider
Added by provider: Sep 18, 2026
Provider ID: gov202st.6ddeb57c
University of North Florida
Jul 8, 2026Jul 17, 2026
2026 Florida
Byron Donalds: 46%
David Jolly: 41%
Likely voters · 848 people surveyed
Survey details
Reported margin of error: Not supplied in this feed
Method: Not supplied in this feed
Sponsors: Not supplied in this feed
Partisan label: Not supplied
Internal poll: Not marked internal by provider
Added by provider: Jul 20, 2026
Provider ID: gov202uni4c4d3f80
Change Research
May 13, 2026May 16, 2026
2026 Florida
Byron Donalds: 42%
David Jolly: 46%
Likely voters · 1,593 people surveyed
Survey details
Reported margin of error: Not supplied in this feed
Method: Not supplied in this feed
Sponsors: Freedom Project USA
Partisan label: Not supplied
Internal poll: Not marked internal by provider
Added by provider: Jun 17, 2026
Provider ID: gov202cha3feaa4b2
Cherry Communications
May 1, 2026May 9, 2026
2026 Florida
Byron Donalds: 47%
David Jolly: 39%
Likely voters · 604 people surveyed
Survey details
Reported margin of error: Not supplied in this feed
Method: Not supplied in this feed
Sponsors: Florida Chamber of Commerce
Partisan label: REP
Internal poll: Not marked internal by provider
Added by provider: May 18, 2026
Provider ID: gov202che6a537ee6
The Public Sentiment Institute
Apr 27, 2026Apr 27, 2026
2026 Florida
Byron Donalds: 40%
David Jolly: 40%
Likely voters · 687 people surveyed
Survey details
Reported margin of error: Not supplied in this feed
Method: Not supplied in this feed
Sponsors: Not supplied in this feed
Partisan label: Not supplied
Internal poll: Not marked internal by provider
Added by provider: May 5, 2026
Provider ID: gov202the5f298aba
Echelon Insights
Apr 3, 2026Apr 9, 2026
2026 Florida
Byron Donalds: 49%
David Jolly: 43%
Likely voters · 406 people surveyed
Survey details
Reported margin of error: Not supplied in this feed
Method: Not supplied in this feed
Sponsors: NetChoice
Partisan label: Not supplied
Internal poll: Not marked internal by provider
Added by provider: Apr 21, 2026
Provider ID: gov202ech95adf978
MDW Communications
Mar 27, 2026Apr 3, 2026
2026 Florida
Byron Donalds: 41.2%
David Jolly: 40.5%
Likely voters · 1,834 people surveyed
Survey details
Reported margin of error: Not supplied in this feed
Method: Not supplied in this feed
Sponsors: Edge Communications
Partisan label: Not supplied
Internal poll: Not marked internal by provider
Added by provider: Apr 14, 2026
Provider ID: gov202mdw939afafd
Emerson College
Mar 29, 2026Mar 31, 2026
2026 Florida
Byron Donalds: 44.2%
David Jolly: 39.4%
Likely voters · 1,125 people surveyed
Survey details
Reported margin of error: Not supplied in this feed
Method: Not supplied in this feed
Sponsors: Not supplied in this feed
Partisan label: Not supplied
Internal poll: Not marked internal by provider
Added by provider: Apr 14, 2026
Provider ID: gov202eme613bf1d0

Labels and figures are supplied by VoteHub. A listed matchup does not establish ballot qualification or primary/general-election status unless the source explicitly says so. Unlisted responses may include undecided voters or other choices; the displayed figures are not rescaled to total 100%.

Polling compilation: VoteHub · CC BY 4.0. Election.org normalizes dates, matches races, and visualizes reported results; it does not estimate outcomes. Original survey links are attached to each report.

Automatic hourly sync. Latest survey ended 2026-09-21. Feed update status →

Last successful feed updates
  • Senate: 9/23/2026, 8:17:19 PM UTC · 299 survey records
  • House: 9/23/2026, 8:17:19 PM UTC · 79 survey records
  • Governor: 9/23/2026, 8:17:19 PM UTC · 234 survey records
  • National preference: 9/23/2026, 8:17:19 PM UTC · 303 survey records

An update time is when we checked the feed, not when a survey was conducted. Coverage is not exhaustive.

No verified prediction-market match is connected for this race yet. See national House and Senate market prices →

Candidate and election information

This page has polling observations, not a verified governor candidate roster or imported historical governor results. Use the state election authority for the final ballot, election dates, and official results.

Official Florida election information ↗

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