2026 · Governor

Florida governor election

Election Day: November 3, 2026. Meet the published candidates, compare reported surveys and make your voting plan.

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Florida

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Who is on the ballot?

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Your election deadlines

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Official deadlines ↗

POLLING · SURVEYS, NOT PREDICTIONS

What do the polls say?

27 survey records

Individual surveys of 2026 contests, including earlier cycle history from 2025. Matchups and populations stay separate; older or hypothetical matchups do not establish who is on the current ballot.

Simple average, not a forecast

Each pollster’s latest general-election survey ending within the last 30 days, with equal weight. Exact matchups and voter populations stay separate. Percentages describe reported support, not a chance of winning.

Likely voters · 4 polls

Sep 14, 2026–Oct 7, 2026 · Lead between the two highest answers: 5.0 percentage points

Reported answer	Average support
Byron Donalds	48.5%
David Jolly	43.5%

Included surveys & calculation

Add each answer’s reported support across these 4 surveys and divide by 4. No house effects, sample weights, undecided allocation or error band is applied. Incomplete numeric matchups are excluded from this calculation but remain in the survey history. Full methodology →

Registered voters · 1 poll

Sep 28, 2026–Oct 4, 2026 · Lead between the two highest answers: 9.0 percentage points

Reported answer	Average support
Byron Donalds	48.0%
David Jolly	39.0%

Included surveys & calculation

Targoz Market Research · fieldwork ended Oct 4, 2026 ↗

Add each answer’s reported support across these 1 surveys and divide by 1. No house effects, sample weights, undecided allocation or error band is applied. Incomplete numeric matchups are excluded from this calculation but remain in the survey history. Full methodology →

Choose a surveyed matchup and population

Hover or tap a date to see the survey and source.

Byron DonaldsDavid Jolly

Survey source

St. Pete Polls

Oct 5, 2026 – Oct 7, 2026

836 people surveyed
Likely voters

Byron DonaldsRepublican45%
David JollyDemocratic45%

0–100% scale · Listed alphabetically

Read original survey

Party colors: Republican red, Democratic blue, Independent purple. Other or unmatched affiliations are gray. Dash patterns distinguish candidates sharing a color.

Dots show reported support. Lines connect surveys over time—not an average or forecast. Pollsters can differ. Missing values and multiple surveys ending on the same date break the lines.

How to read this chart

No average, trend estimate, or win probability. Different matchups and populations are not combined. Dates mark the last day people were surveyed. The vertical scale always starts at zero; use “Full 0–100% scale” to compare charts on the same scale. The number of people surveyed is the survey sample size, not the number supporting a candidate. Select “Survey source” to inspect every report, including overlapping dots.

Individual survey reports (16)

Latest surveys · selected matchup

Individual reports. Original sources and methodology below.

Reported support

Byron DonaldsRepublican45%
David JollyDemocratic45%

0–100% scale · Listed alphabetically

Sample: 836 people surveyed
Population: Likely voters

Survey details & methodology

Reported margin of error: Not supplied in this feed
Method: Not supplied in this feed
Sponsors: Florida Politics
Pollster/sponsor partisan label: Not supplied
Internal poll: Not marked internal by provider
Added by provider: Oct 9, 2026
Provider ID: gov202st.5da962b0
Party color sources: Byron Donalds: Republican; David Jolly: Democratic

Reported support

Byron DonaldsRepublican52%
David JollyDemocratic42%

0–100% scale · Listed alphabetically

Sample: 857 people surveyed
Population: Likely voters

Survey details & methodology

Reported margin of error: Not supplied in this feed
Method: Not supplied in this feed
Sponsors: The James Madison Institute
Pollster/sponsor partisan label: Not supplied
Internal poll: Not marked internal by provider
Added by provider: Oct 9, 2026
Provider ID: gov202tar4f4b4cfb
Party color sources: David Jolly: Democratic; Byron Donalds: Republican

Reported support

Byron DonaldsRepublican46%
David JollyDemocratic48%

0–100% scale · Listed alphabetically

Sample: 1,063 people surveyed
Population: Likely voters

Survey details & methodology

Reported margin of error: Not supplied in this feed
Method: Not supplied in this feed
Sponsors: Freedom Project USA
Pollster/sponsor partisan label: Not supplied
Internal poll: Not marked internal by provider
Added by provider: Sep 29, 2026
Provider ID: gov202cha9102cf63
Party color sources: Byron Donalds: Republican; David Jolly: Democratic

Reported support

Byron DonaldsRepublican51%
David JollyDemocratic39%

0–100% scale · Listed alphabetically

Sample: 830 people surveyed
Population: Likely voters

Survey details & methodology

Reported margin of error: Not supplied in this feed
Method: Not supplied in this feed
Sponsors: Not supplied in this feed
Pollster/sponsor partisan label: Not supplied
Internal poll: Not marked internal by provider
Added by provider: Sep 25, 2026
Provider ID: gov202steb5a21bdb
Party color sources: Byron Donalds: Republican; David Jolly: Democratic

Reported support

Byron DonaldsRepublican43.5%
David JollyDemocratic43.4%

0–100% scale · Listed alphabetically

Sample: 913 people surveyed
Population: Likely voters

Survey details & methodology

Reported margin of error: Not supplied in this feed
Method: Not supplied in this feed
Sponsors: Florida Politics
Pollster/sponsor partisan label: Not supplied
Internal poll: Not marked internal by provider
Added by provider: Sep 18, 2026
Provider ID: gov202st.6ddeb57c
Party color sources: Byron Donalds: Republican; David Jolly: Democratic

Reported support

Byron DonaldsRepublican46%
David JollyDemocratic41%

0–100% scale · Listed alphabetically

Sample: 848 people surveyed
Population: Likely voters

Survey details & methodology

Reported margin of error: Not supplied in this feed
Method: Not supplied in this feed
Sponsors: Not supplied in this feed
Pollster/sponsor partisan label: Not supplied
Internal poll: Not marked internal by provider
Added by provider: Jul 20, 2026
Provider ID: gov202uni4c4d3f80
Party color sources: Byron Donalds: Republican; David Jolly: Democratic

Reported support

Byron DonaldsRepublican42%
David JollyDemocratic46%

0–100% scale · Listed alphabetically

Sample: 1,593 people surveyed
Population: Likely voters

Survey details & methodology

Reported margin of error: Not supplied in this feed
Method: Not supplied in this feed
Sponsors: Freedom Project USA
Pollster/sponsor partisan label: Not supplied
Internal poll: Not marked internal by provider
Added by provider: Jun 17, 2026
Provider ID: gov202cha3feaa4b2
Party color sources: David Jolly: Democratic; Byron Donalds: Republican

Reported support

Byron DonaldsRepublican47%
David JollyDemocratic39%

0–100% scale · Listed alphabetically

Sample: 604 people surveyed
Population: Likely voters

Survey details & methodology

Reported margin of error: Not supplied in this feed
Method: Not supplied in this feed
Sponsors: Florida Chamber of Commerce
Pollster/sponsor partisan label: REP
Internal poll: Not marked internal by provider
Added by provider: May 18, 2026
Provider ID: gov202che6a537ee6
Party color sources: David Jolly: Democratic; Byron Donalds: Republican

Labels and figures are supplied by VoteHub. A listed matchup does not establish ballot qualification or primary/general-election status unless the source explicitly says so. Unlisted responses may include undecided voters or other choices; the displayed figures are not rescaled to total 100%.

Polling compilation: VoteHub · CC BY 4.0. Election.org normalizes dates, matches races, and visualizes reported results; it does not estimate outcomes. Original survey links are attached to each report.

Automatic hourly sync. Across all feeds, the latest survey ended 2026-10-09. Check the field dates above for this selection. Feed update status →

Last successful feed updates

Senate: 10/12/2026, 12:17:18 AM UTC · 455 survey records
House: 10/12/2026, 12:17:18 AM UTC · 129 survey records
Governor: 10/12/2026, 12:17:18 AM UTC · 335 survey records
National preference: 10/12/2026, 12:17:18 AM UTC · 546 survey records

An update time is when we checked the feed, not when a survey was conducted. Coverage is not exhaustive.

Follow campaign money

Governor campaigns file with their state’s campaign-finance authorities. Federal candidate totals do not describe this race.

SECRETARY OF STATE ↗

FLORIDA ELECTIONS COMMISSION ↗

State campaign-finance sources →

No verified prediction-market match is connected for this race yet. See national House and Senate market prices →

Election inventory: National Governors Association ↗ · checked 2026-10-11. Ballot status comes from the separate state certification when present.

Florida governor election

Make your voting plan

Who is on the ballot?

Your election deadlines

What do the polls say?

Simple average, not a forecast

Likely voters · 4 polls

Registered voters · 1 poll

Latest surveys · selected matchup

St. Pete Polls

Targoz Market Research

Change Research

Stetson University Center for Public Opinion Research

St. Pete Polls

University of North Florida

Change Research

Cherry Communications

Follow campaign money