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Elections/Ohio/2026 U.S. House
Permanent contest record · 2026 federal election

2026 Ohio District 15 U.S. House Election.

See official November candidate lists, registered write-ins where verified, polling and voting information. Earlier FEC filings are kept in the history below.

U.S. HouseOhio District 15General: November 3, 20264 November ballot names

Make your voting plan

Ohio

Election Day hours: 6:30 a.m.–7:30 p.m. local time

Who is on the November ballot?

November 3, 2026 · 4 printed ballot names · alphabetical

Official November list checked .

Registered November write-in candidates

These names belong on the official write-in list, rather than the printed candidate list.

November write-in information

Write-in rules and filing deadlines vary by office and state. Check the current official list; the printed roster alone does not establish whether write-ins are eligible. Official write-in information ↗

FEC filing history (5 filing groups; 5 IDs)

This archive includes primary candidates and other filers. Inclusion here does not establish a November ballot place. Reported financial activity first, then names alphabetically; reviewed duplicate committee summaries are counted once.

Democratic Party

Adam Clay Miller

Not on the reviewed printed November ballot. This FEC filing does not appear in the reviewed official printed November field for this exact contest. Registered write-ins are tracked separately where an official list is available. Absence does not establish a primary loss or withdrawal. Official stage source ↗

Not on the reviewed printed November ballot · Verified ↗
Receipts
$907,014.93
Spent
$910,535.89
Cash
$92.67

Through · Last successful import

Dates for November 3

Download calendar ↓

Partial coverage: only the dated entries below have been checked. Confirm other deadlines and exceptions with your election office.

Ohio · Sourced election dates
ActionDateDetails and source
Register online
Passed
Registration deadline; check online cutoff and official instructions.
Official source ↗
Register by mail
Passed
Registration deadline; check receipt/postmark requirements.
Official source ↗
Register in person
Passed
Boards of elections and the Secretary of State office open until 9 p.m.
Official source ↗
Early voting begins
Passed
Early in-person voting begins; daily hours vary.
Official source ↗
Early voting ends
13 days left
Final early-voting hours are 1–5 p.m.; check county location.
Official source ↗
Request mail ballot
8 days left
Absentee applications must be received by the board of elections by 8:30 p.m.
Official source ↗
Return ballot
15 days left
Non-UOCAVA absentee ballots must be received by 7:30 p.m.; military/overseas rules differ.
Official source ↗

Checked 2026-10-16. Confirm local details and exceptions with your election office.

POLLING · SURVEYS, NOT PREDICTIONS

What do the polls say?

2 survey records

Individual surveys of 2026 contests, including earlier cycle history from 2025. Matchups and populations stay separate; older or hypothetical matchups do not establish who is on the current ballot.

Simple average, not a forecast

Each pollster’s latest general-election survey ending within the last 30 days, with equal weight. Reviewed candidate identities join spelling variants; different matchups and voter populations stay separate. Percentages describe reported support, not a chance of winning.

Newest fieldwork appears first. When dates tie, the default favors more pollsters not marked internal or partisan in this 30-day window. Source labels remain visible; this is not a pollster-quality rating.

Likely voters · 1 poll · partisan sponsor (DEM)

Sep 22, 2026–Sep 24, 2026 · Lead between the two highest answers: 1.0 percentage points

Reported answerAverage support
Don Ralph Leonard46.0%
Mike Carey45.0%
Included surveys & calculation

Add each answer’s reported support across these 1 surveys and divide by 1. No house effects, sample weights, undecided allocation or error band is applied. Incomplete numeric matchups are excluded from this calculation but remain in the survey history. Full methodology →

Hover or tap a date to see the survey and source.

Polling history for the selected matchup1 survey observations. Vertical scale: reported support from 0 to 60 percent. Select a survey date to read its source. Arrow keys move between dates. Exact figures and source links follow in the survey reports.0%15%30%45%60%Don Ralph Leonard: 46% · Hart Research Associates · Sep 24, 2026 · 500 people surveyed · https://x.com/cjwarnke/status/2104619061556457603Mike Carey: 45% · Hart Research Associates · Sep 24, 2026 · 500 people surveyed · https://x.com/cjwarnke/status/2104619061556457603Sep 24, 2026
Don Ralph LeonardMike Carey

Party colors: Republican red, Democratic blue, Independent purple. Other or unmatched affiliations are gray. Dash patterns distinguish candidates sharing a color.

Dots show reported support. Lines connect surveys over time—not an average or forecast. Pollsters can differ. Missing values and multiple surveys ending on the same date break the lines.

How to read this chart

No average, trend estimate, or win probability. Different matchups and populations are not combined. Dates mark the last day people were surveyed. The vertical scale always starts at zero; use “Full 0–100% scale” to compare charts on the same scale. The number of people surveyed is the survey sample size, not the number supporting a candidate. Select “Survey source” to inspect every report, including overlapping dots.

Latest surveys · selected matchup

Individual reports. Original sources and methodology below.

Fieldwork –
Reported support

0–100% scale · Listed alphabetically

Sample
500 people surveyed
Population
Likely voters
Survey details & methodology
Reported margin of error
Not supplied in this feed
Method
Not supplied in this feed
Sponsors
House Majority PAC
Pollster/sponsor partisan label
DEM
Internal poll
Not marked internal by provider
Added by provider
Provider ID
us-202har67e7828b

Labels and figures are supplied by VoteHub. A listed matchup does not establish ballot qualification or primary/general-election status unless the source explicitly says so. Unlisted responses may include undecided voters or other choices; the displayed figures are not rescaled to total 100%.

Polling compilation: VoteHub · CC BY 4.0. Election.org normalizes dates, matches races, and visualizes reported results; it does not estimate outcomes. Original survey links are attached to each report.

Automatic hourly sync. Across all feeds, the latest survey ended 2026-10-15. Check the field dates above for this selection. Feed update status →

Last successful feed updates
  • Senate: 10/19/2026, 5:17:20 AM UTC · 474 survey records
  • House: 10/19/2026, 5:17:19 AM UTC · 133 survey records
  • Governor: 10/19/2026, 5:17:20 AM UTC · 349 survey records
  • National preference: 10/19/2026, 5:17:20 AM UTC · 546 survey records

An update time is when we checked the feed, not when a survey was conducted. Coverage is not exhaustive.

FEC FILING RECORDS54 distinct current financial summaries
REPORTED RECEIPTS$6,055,752.83Available summaries; shared principal-committee money counted once
REPORTED SPENDING$5,396,838.96Not outside spending
Published election schedule

Election dates

DATES MAY CHANGE
PRIMARYMay 5, 2026FEC congressional primary calendar
GENERALNovember 3, 2026Regular federal general election.

The FEC publishes this calendar but does not administer elections. State and local election officials determine ballot access, voting methods, and official candidate lists.

Sources and filing coverage
FILING RECORDS

Not the certified ballot.

Seat identity and the election schedule are verified separately from FEC filings. A filing does not establish ballot qualification.

How to use this race page

November candidate names come from the official general-election sources linked beside each person. Registered write-ins have their own list. FEC filing history preserves earlier primary and other campaign records; filing or fundraising alone does not establish November eligibility. Confirm your full local sample ballot with the election authority.

No verified prediction-market match is connected for this race yet. See national House and Senate market prices →