Elections/Alaska/2026 U.S. Senate
Permanent contest record · 2026 federal election

2026 Alaska U.S. Senate Election.

See the latest available surveys, explore candidate records, and check when to vote. Polling matchups and FEC filing records do not establish the final ballot.

U.S. SenateAlaska U.S. SenateGeneral: November 3, 20263 filing records
POLLING · SURVEYS, NOT PREDICTIONS

What do the polls say?

12 survey records

Hover or tap a date to see the survey and source.

Polling history for the selected matchup9 survey observations. Vertical scale: reported support from 0 to 60 percent. Select a survey date to read its source. Arrow keys move between dates. Exact figures and source links follow in the table.0%15%30%45%60%Dan Sullivan: 49% · co/efficient · Sep 17, 2026 · 799 people surveyed · https://battlegrounds.coefficient.org/ak/Dan Sullivan: 47% · Fabrizio, Lee & Associates/Impact Research · Sep 11, 2026 · 800 people surveyed · https://www.aarp.org/pri/topics/voter-research/politics/2026-midterm-election-poll-alaska/Dan Sullivan: 49.4% · Alaska Survey Research · Aug 23, 2026 · 1,495 people surveyed · https://x.com/The_Real_ASR/status/2095186398882287632Dan Sullivan: 49.2% · Alaska Survey Research · Aug 5, 2026 · 1,371 people surveyed · https://x.com/The_Real_ASR/status/2087253230548107640?s=20Dan Sullivan: 47% · The New York Times/Siena University · Jun 29, 2026 · 593 people surveyed · https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2026/07/01/polls/times-siena-alaska-poll-crosstabs.htmlDan Sullivan: 47.3% · Alaska Survey Research · Apr 19, 2026 · Number of people surveyed not supplied · https://x.com/polltracker2024/status/2050660840278229202Dan Sullivan: 48% · Alaska Survey Research · Apr 19, 2026 · 1,946 people surveyed · https://bsky.app/profile/alaskasurvey.bsky.social/post/3mk6ej2v5yv27Dan Sullivan: 47.6% · Alaska Survey Research · Mar 22, 2026 · 1,283 people surveyed · https://bsky.app/profile/alaskasurvey.bsky.social/post/3mi5sviz72222Dan Sullivan: 46.4% · Alaska Survey Research · Jan 11, 2026 · 1,681 people surveyed · https://x.com/The_Real_ASR/status/2011266752693616932Mary Peltola: 46% · co/efficient · Sep 17, 2026 · 799 people surveyed · https://battlegrounds.coefficient.org/ak/Mary Peltola: 53% · Fabrizio, Lee & Associates/Impact Research · Sep 11, 2026 · 800 people surveyed · https://www.aarp.org/pri/topics/voter-research/politics/2026-midterm-election-poll-alaska/Mary Peltola: 50.6% · Alaska Survey Research · Aug 23, 2026 · 1,495 people surveyed · https://x.com/The_Real_ASR/status/2095186398882287632Mary Peltola: 50.8% · Alaska Survey Research · Aug 5, 2026 · 1,371 people surveyed · https://x.com/The_Real_ASR/status/2087253230548107640?s=20Mary Peltola: 45% · The New York Times/Siena University · Jun 29, 2026 · 593 people surveyed · https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2026/07/01/polls/times-siena-alaska-poll-crosstabs.htmlMary Peltola: 50.8% · Alaska Survey Research · Apr 19, 2026 · Number of people surveyed not supplied · https://x.com/polltracker2024/status/2050660840278229202Mary Peltola: 52% · Alaska Survey Research · Apr 19, 2026 · 1,946 people surveyed · https://bsky.app/profile/alaskasurvey.bsky.social/post/3mk6ej2v5yv27Mary Peltola: 52.4% · Alaska Survey Research · Mar 22, 2026 · 1,283 people surveyed · https://bsky.app/profile/alaskasurvey.bsky.social/post/3mi5sviz72222Mary Peltola: 48% · Alaska Survey Research · Jan 11, 2026 · 1,681 people surveyed · https://x.com/The_Real_ASR/status/2011266752693616932Jan 11, 2026Sep 17, 2026
Dan SullivanMary Peltola

Dots show reported support. Lines connect surveys over time—not an average or forecast. Pollsters can differ. Missing values and multiple surveys ending on the same date break the lines.

How to read this chart

No average, trend estimate, or win probability. Different matchups and populations are not combined. Dates mark the last day people were surveyed. The vertical scale always starts at zero; use “Full 0–100% scale” to compare charts on the same scale. The number of people surveyed is the survey sample size, not the number supporting a candidate. Select “Survey source” to inspect every report, including overlapping dots.

Latest surveys · selected matchup

Reported survey results and methodological disclosures
Survey & field datesReported supportSample & disclosures
co/efficient ↗
Sep 14, 2026 – Sep 17, 2026
2026 Alaska
Dan Sullivan: 49%
Mary Peltola: 46%
Likely voters · 799 people surveyed
Survey details
Reported margin of error: Not supplied in this feed
Method: Not supplied in this feed
Sponsors: Not supplied in this feed
Partisan label: Not supplied
Internal poll: Not marked internal by provider
Added by provider: Sep 18, 2026
Provider ID: us-202co/0acc5699
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates/Impact Research ↗
Sep 8, 2026 – Sep 11, 2026
2026 Alaska
Dan Sullivan: 47%
Mary Peltola: 53%
Likely voters · 800 people surveyed
Survey details
Reported margin of error: Not supplied in this feed
Method: Not supplied in this feed
Sponsors: AARP
Partisan label: Not supplied
Internal poll: Not marked internal by provider
Added by provider: Sep 17, 2026
Provider ID: us-202fabecd2ecd9
Alaska Survey Research ↗
Aug 20, 2026 – Aug 23, 2026
2026 Alaska
Dan Sullivan: 49.4%
Mary Peltola: 50.6%
Likely voters · 1,495 people surveyed
Survey details
Reported margin of error: Not supplied in this feed
Method: Not supplied in this feed
Sponsors: Not supplied in this feed
Partisan label: Not supplied
Internal poll: Not marked internal by provider
Added by provider: Sep 3, 2026
Provider ID: us-202ala6eea5978
Alaska Survey Research ↗
Aug 2, 2026 – Aug 5, 2026
2026 Alaska
Dan Sullivan: 49.2%
Mary Peltola: 50.8%
Likely voters · 1,371 people surveyed
Survey details
Reported margin of error: Not supplied in this feed
Method: Not supplied in this feed
Sponsors: Not supplied in this feed
Partisan label: Not supplied
Internal poll: Not marked internal by provider
Added by provider: Aug 12, 2026
Provider ID: us-202alaaa70f06a
The New York Times/Siena University ↗
Jun 15, 2026 – Jun 29, 2026
2026 Alaska
Dan Sullivan: 47%
Mary Peltola: 45%
Likely voters · 593 people surveyed
Survey details
Reported margin of error: Not supplied in this feed
Method: Not supplied in this feed
Sponsors: Not supplied in this feed
Partisan label: Not supplied
Internal poll: Not marked internal by provider
Added by provider: Jul 1, 2026
Provider ID: us-202the011805d2
Alaska Survey Research ↗
Apr 16, 2026 – Apr 19, 2026
2026 Alaska
Dan Sullivan: 47.3%
Mary Peltola: 50.8%
Likely voters · Number of people surveyed not supplied
Survey details
Reported margin of error: Not supplied in this feed
Method: Not supplied in this feed
Sponsors: Not supplied in this feed
Partisan label: Not supplied
Internal poll: Not marked internal by provider
Added by provider: May 3, 2026
Provider ID: us-202alabbd6655e
Alaska Survey Research ↗
Apr 16, 2026 – Apr 19, 2026
2026 Alaska
Dan Sullivan: 48%
Mary Peltola: 52%
Likely voters · 1,946 people surveyed
Survey details
Reported margin of error: Not supplied in this feed
Method: Not supplied in this feed
Sponsors: Not supplied in this feed
Partisan label: Not supplied
Internal poll: Not marked internal by provider
Added by provider: Apr 23, 2026
Provider ID: us-202alabcabdd28
Alaska Survey Research ↗
Mar 19, 2026 – Mar 22, 2026
2026 Alaska
Dan Sullivan: 47.6%
Mary Peltola: 52.4%
Likely voters · 1,283 people surveyed
Survey details
Reported margin of error: Not supplied in this feed
Method: Not supplied in this feed
Sponsors: Not supplied in this feed
Partisan label: Not supplied
Internal poll: Not marked internal by provider
Added by provider: Mar 29, 2026
Provider ID: us-202ala6fd3746f

Labels and figures are supplied by VoteHub. A listed matchup does not establish ballot qualification or primary/general-election status unless the source explicitly says so. Unlisted responses may include undecided voters or other choices; the displayed figures are not rescaled to total 100%.

Polling compilation: VoteHub · CC BY 4.0. Election.org normalizes dates, matches races, and visualizes reported results; it does not estimate outcomes. Original survey links are attached to each report.

Automatic hourly sync. Latest survey ended 2026-09-24. Feed update status →

Last successful feed updates
  • Senate: 9/28/2026, 2:17:19 PM UTC · 313 survey records
  • House: 9/28/2026, 2:17:19 PM UTC · 86 survey records
  • Governor: 9/28/2026, 2:17:19 PM UTC · 250 survey records
  • National preference: 9/28/2026, 2:17:19 PM UTC · 303 survey records

An update time is when we checked the feed, not when a survey was conducted. Coverage is not exhaustive.

FILING RECORDS

Not the certified ballot.

Seat identity and the election schedule are verified separately from FEC filings. A filing does not establish ballot qualification.

FEC FILING RECORDS33 with a financial summary
REPORTED RECEIPTS$27,700,934.39Sum of available candidate summaries
REPORTED SPENDING$17,851,614.90Not outside spending
Same rows for every filing record

2026 candidate research table

FEC PUBLIC RECORD

Listed alphabetically, with equal fields for each candidate. A missing summary stays “Not reported”; it never becomes zero.

Published election schedule

Primary, runoff, and general dates

DATES MAY CHANGE
PRIMARYAugust 18, 2026FEC congressional primary calendar
RUNOFFNo runoff date listedConfirm qualification rules with the state election office.
GENERALNovember 3, 2026Regular federal general election.

The FEC publishes this calendar but does not administer elections. State and local election officials determine ballot access, voting methods, and official candidate lists.

How to use this race page

Research the field without inventing certainty.

What is verified

FEC identity, office, state or district, filing classification, and available campaign-finance summaries; the FEC-published election dates are separately sourced.

What is not verified

Ballot qualification, ballot order, withdrawal status after the bulk file, primary eligibility, or a complete official sample ballot.

What to do next

Use each candidate record for money and source history, then confirm the final ballot through the responsible state or local election authority.

No verified prediction-market match is connected for this race yet. See national House and Senate market prices →