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Elections/Arkansas/2026 U.S. Senate
Permanent contest record · 2026 federal election

2026 Arkansas U.S. Senate Election.

See official November candidate lists, registered write-ins where verified, polling and voting information. Earlier FEC filings are kept in the history below.

U.S. SenateArkansas U.S. SenateGeneral: November 3, 2026

Make your voting plan

Arkansas
Voter registration guideOfficial registration options ↗Open my election officeOfficial voter services ↗Deadlines and rulesCheck your state’s sources →

Who is on the November ballot?

Open the election authority’s current November ballot list ↗

November write-in information

Write-in rules and filing deadlines vary by office and state. Check the current official list; the printed roster alone does not establish whether write-ins are eligible. Official write-in information ↗

FEC filing history (10 filing groups; 10 IDs)

This archive includes primary candidates and other filers. Inclusion here does not establish a November ballot place. Reported financial activity first, then names alphabetically; reviewed duplicate committee summaries are counted once.

Dates for November 3

Download calendar ↓

Partial coverage: only the dated entries below have been checked. Confirm other deadlines and exceptions with your election office.

Arkansas · Sourced election dates
ActionDateDetails and source
Early voting begins
Today		Early voting begins for the general election; confirm county schedule.
Official source ↗

Checked 2026-10-16. Confirm local details and exceptions with your election office.

POLLING · SURVEYS, NOT PREDICTIONS

What do the polls say?

4 survey records

Individual surveys of 2026 contests, including earlier cycle history from 2025. Matchups and populations stay separate; older or hypothetical matchups do not establish who is on the current ballot.

Simple average, not a forecast

Each pollster’s latest general-election survey ending within the last 30 days, with equal weight. Reviewed candidate identities join spelling variants; different matchups and voter populations stay separate. Percentages describe reported support, not a chance of winning.

Newest fieldwork appears first. When dates tie, the default favors more pollsters not marked internal or partisan in this 30-day window. Source labels remain visible; this is not a pollster-quality rating.

Likely voters · 2 polls

Sep 30, 2026–Oct 13, 2026 · Lead between the two highest answers: 10.0 percentage points

Reported answerAverage support
Tom Cotton50.5%
Hallie Shoffner40.5%
Jeffrey Francis Wadlin4.5%
Included surveys & calculation

Add each answer’s reported support across these 2 surveys and divide by 2. No house effects, sample weights, undecided allocation or error band is applied. Incomplete numeric matchups are excluded from this calculation but remain in the survey history. Full methodology →

Hover or tap a date to see the survey and source.

Polling history for the selected matchup3 survey observations. Vertical scale: reported support from 0 to 60 percent. Select a survey date to read its source. Arrow keys move between dates. Exact figures and source links follow in the survey reports.0%15%30%45%60%Hallie Shoffner: 41% · Hendrix College · Oct 13, 2026 · 709 people surveyed · https://talkbusiness.net/2026/10/poll-cotton-takes-lead-over-shoffner/Hallie Shoffner: 40% · Grayhouse · Oct 4, 2026 · 550 people surveyed · https://x.com/LandonWall_/status/2108601370580332749Hallie Shoffner: 35% · J.L. Partners · Aug 18, 2026 · 803 people surveyed · https://static1.squarespace.com/static/663253f0bc87b7070102f41f/t/6a84d771481c4817e92f0eee/1787090801301/AR+Aug+26+Polling+Memo.pdfJeffrey Francis Wadlin: 5% · Hendrix College · Oct 13, 2026 · 709 people surveyed · https://talkbusiness.net/2026/10/poll-cotton-takes-lead-over-shoffner/Jeffrey Francis Wadlin: 4% · Grayhouse · Oct 4, 2026 · 550 people surveyed · https://x.com/LandonWall_/status/2108601370580332749Jeffrey Francis Wadlin: 4% · J.L. Partners · Aug 18, 2026 · 803 people surveyed · https://static1.squarespace.com/static/663253f0bc87b7070102f41f/t/6a84d771481c4817e92f0eee/1787090801301/AR+Aug+26+Polling+Memo.pdfTom Cotton: 50% · Hendrix College · Oct 13, 2026 · 709 people surveyed · https://talkbusiness.net/2026/10/poll-cotton-takes-lead-over-shoffner/Tom Cotton: 51% · Grayhouse · Oct 4, 2026 · 550 people surveyed · https://x.com/LandonWall_/status/2108601370580332749Tom Cotton: 51% · J.L. Partners · Aug 18, 2026 · 803 people surveyed · https://static1.squarespace.com/static/663253f0bc87b7070102f41f/t/6a84d771481c4817e92f0eee/1787090801301/AR+Aug+26+Polling+Memo.pdfAug 18, 2026Oct 13, 2026
Hallie ShoffnerJeffrey Francis WadlinTom Cotton

Party colors: Republican red, Democratic blue, Independent purple. Other or unmatched affiliations are gray. Dash patterns distinguish candidates sharing a color.

Dots show reported support. Lines connect surveys over time—not an average or forecast. Pollsters can differ. Missing values and multiple surveys ending on the same date break the lines.

How to read this chart

No average, trend estimate, or win probability. Different matchups and populations are not combined. Dates mark the last day people were surveyed. The vertical scale always starts at zero; use “Full 0–100% scale” to compare charts on the same scale. The number of people surveyed is the survey sample size, not the number supporting a candidate. Select “Survey source” to inspect every report, including overlapping dots.

Latest surveys · selected matchup

Individual reports. Original sources and methodology below.

2026 Arkansas

Hendrix College

Fieldwork –
Reported support

0–100% scale · Listed alphabetically

Sample
709 people surveyed
Population
Likely voters
Survey details & methodology
Reported margin of error
Not supplied in this feed
Method
Not supplied in this feed
Sponsors
Talk Business & Politics
Pollster/sponsor partisan label
Not supplied
Internal poll
Not marked internal by provider
Added by provider
Provider ID
us-202hen5c2d9c7e
2026 Arkansas

Grayhouse

Fieldwork –
Reported support

0–100% scale · Listed alphabetically

Sample
550 people surveyed
Population
Likely voters
Survey details & methodology
Reported margin of error
Not supplied in this feed
Method
Not supplied in this feed
Sponsors
Not supplied in this feed
Pollster/sponsor partisan label
Not supplied
Internal poll
Not marked internal by provider
Added by provider
Provider ID
us-202gracbfdd9ed
2026 Arkansas

J.L. Partners

Fieldwork –
Reported support

0–100% scale · Listed alphabetically

Sample
803 people surveyed
Population
Likely voters
Survey details & methodology
Reported margin of error
Not supplied in this feed
Method
Not supplied in this feed
Sponsors
Not supplied in this feed
Pollster/sponsor partisan label
Not supplied
Internal poll
Not marked internal by provider
Added by provider
Provider ID
us-202j.le2159a92

Labels and figures are supplied by VoteHub. A listed matchup does not establish ballot qualification or primary/general-election status unless the source explicitly says so. Unlisted responses may include undecided voters or other choices; the displayed figures are not rescaled to total 100%.

Polling compilation: VoteHub · CC BY 4.0. Election.org normalizes dates, matches races, and visualizes reported results; it does not estimate outcomes. Original survey links are attached to each report.

Automatic hourly sync. Across all feeds, the latest survey ended 2026-10-15. Check the field dates above for this selection. Feed update status →

Last successful feed updates
  • Senate: 10/19/2026, 6:17:20 PM UTC · 474 survey records
  • House: 10/19/2026, 6:17:20 PM UTC · 133 survey records
  • Governor: 10/19/2026, 6:17:20 PM UTC · 349 survey records
  • National preference: 10/19/2026, 6:17:21 PM UTC · 546 survey records

An update time is when we checked the feed, not when a survey was conducted. Coverage is not exhaustive.

FEC FILING RECORDS108 distinct current financial summaries
REPORTED RECEIPTS$10,855,204.86Available summaries; shared principal-committee money counted once
REPORTED SPENDING$10,015,765.51Not outside spending
Published election schedule

Election dates

DATES MAY CHANGE
PRIMARYMarch 3, 2026FEC congressional primary calendar
RUNOFFMarch 31, 2026Confirm qualification rules with the state election office.
GENERALNovember 3, 2026Regular federal general election.

The FEC publishes this calendar but does not administer elections. State and local election officials determine ballot access, voting methods, and official candidate lists.

Sources and filing coverage
FILING RECORDS

Not the certified ballot.

Seat identity and the election schedule are verified separately from FEC filings. A filing does not establish ballot qualification.

How to use this race page

November candidate names come from the official general-election sources linked beside each person. Registered write-ins have their own list. FEC filing history preserves earlier primary and other campaign records; filing or fundraising alone does not establish November eligibility. Confirm your full local sample ballot with the election authority.

No verified prediction-market match is connected for this race yet. See national House and Senate market prices →

Continue researching

Keep exploring Arkansas.

Follow the people, the money, and the official election information.