Elections/Michigan/2026 U.S. Senate
Permanent contest record · 2026 federal election

2026 Michigan U.S. Senate Election.

See the latest available surveys, explore candidate records, and check when to vote. Polling matchups and FEC filing records do not establish the final ballot.

U.S. SenateMichigan U.S. SenateGeneral: November 3, 202611 filing records
POLLING · SURVEYS, NOT PREDICTIONS

What do the polls say?

46 survey records

Hover or tap a date to see the survey and source.

Polling history for the selected matchup18 survey observations. Vertical scale: reported support from 0 to 60 percent. Select a survey date to read its source. Arrow keys move between dates. Exact figures and source links follow in the table.0%15%30%45%60%Abdul El-Sayed: 50% · co/efficient · Sep 23, 2026 · 843 people surveyed · https://battlegrounds.coefficient.org/mi/Abdul El-Sayed: 49% · The New York Times/Siena University · Sep 22, 2026 · 605 people surveyed · https://www.nytimes.com/2026/09/24/us/politics/democrats-show-strength-in-michigan-senate-race-but-trail-in-maine-polls-find.htmlAbdul El-Sayed: 48% · The Washington Post/George Mason University School of Policy and Government · Sep 14, 2026 · 803 people surveyed · https://www.washingtonpost.com/documents/08fa9b5e-43ac-456c-a706-4c33ec6506dc.pdfAbdul El-Sayed: 47% · EPIC-MRA · Aug 28, 2026 · 600 people surveyed · https://drive.google.com/file/d/1flmzB5xpdJ6Noa-3hAbms0vBml6KwAxy/view?usp=sharingAbdul El-Sayed: 50% · Michigan State University Institute for Public Policy and Social Research/YouGov · Aug 20, 2026 · 779 people surveyed · https://ippsr.msu.edu/news/msu-poll-shows-democrats-lead-republicans-coalesce-behind-rogersAbdul El-Sayed: 48% · Fabrizio, Lee & Associates/Impact Research · Aug 11, 2026 · 877 people surveyed · https://www.aarp.org/pri/topics/voter-research/politics/2026-midterm-election-poll-michigan/Abdul El-Sayed: 50% · GBAO Strategies · Aug 10, 2026 · 800 people surveyed · https://www.politico.com/newsletters/playbook/2026/08/15/what-burritos-tell-us-about-capitalism-01038859Abdul El-Sayed: 41% · SoCal Strategies · Jul 30, 2026 · 640 people surveyed · https://socalstrategies.substack.com/p/abdul-el-sayed-holds-17-point-primaryAbdul El-Sayed: 45% · Mitchell Research & Communications · Jul 29, 2026 · 672 people surveyed · https://static1.squarespace.com/static/5f14ae6fb2a20e01e9c6d608/t/6a6d26262f442f133d15fa49/1785538087149/MITCHELL+MI+Poll+Nov+Electio+Press+Release+7-31-2026+305PM_A.pdfAbdul El-Sayed: 38.7% · Glengariff Group, Inc. · Jul 24, 2026 · 600 people surveyed · https://mea.org/wp-content/uploads/2026/07/MICHIGAN-EDUCATION-SURVEY-REPORT-FINAL54.pdfAbdul El-Sayed: 45.2% · Quantus Insights · Jun 30, 2026 · 947 people surveyed · https://quantusinsights.org/f/michigan-senate-el-sayed-leads-primary-fall-race-remains-tightAbdul El-Sayed: 45% · Zenith Research · Jun 14, 2026 · 602 people surveyed · https://x.com/admcrlsn/status/2067419019544555546Abdul El-Sayed: 46% · Tulchin Research · Jun 4, 2026 · 500 people surveyed · https://drive.google.com/file/d/15KbOIW_L4iGdkgIbMWDr2m80N0ZUr3d3/viewAbdul El-Sayed: 43% · TIPP Insights · May 23, 2026 · 1,163 people surveyed · https://tippinsights.com/league-of-american-workers-survey-michiganAbdul El-Sayed: 42% · Mitchell Research & Communications · May 7, 2026 · 607 people surveyed · https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/852uovvc2zfsqrnphdn9q/MIRS-MITCHELL-DEM-Primary-Press-Release-5-11-26-150PM_A.docx?rlkey=v522wmle6zvzlajt6m6nfoj78&st=zhm55ihc&dl=0Abdul El-Sayed: 40% · Glengariff Group, Inc. · May 1, 2026 · 600 people surveyed · https://www.detroitchamber.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/05/DRC_Glengariff-Group_2026-Mackinac-Policy-Conference_POLITICAL-REPORT.pdfAbdul El-Sayed: 42.5% · Emerson College · Jan 25, 2026 · 1,000 people surveyed · https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1AtLJcs2z9R_NRY7eZqvKS256qHiVSUx0/edit?usp=sharing&ouid=111479937799022047482&rtpof=true&sd=trueAbdul El-Sayed: 42% · Glengariff Group, Inc. · Jan 6, 2026 · 600 people surveyed · https://www.detroitnews.com/story/news/politics/2026/01/13/michigan-race-for-governor-polling-john-james-jocelyn-benson-mike-duggan/88134923007/?gnt-cfr=1&gca-cat=p&gca-uir=false&gca-epti=undefined&gca-ft=0&gca-ds=sophiMike Rogers: 50% · co/efficient · Sep 23, 2026 · 843 people surveyed · https://battlegrounds.coefficient.org/mi/Mike Rogers: 44% · The New York Times/Siena University · Sep 22, 2026 · 605 people surveyed · https://www.nytimes.com/2026/09/24/us/politics/democrats-show-strength-in-michigan-senate-race-but-trail-in-maine-polls-find.htmlMike Rogers: 45% · The Washington Post/George Mason University School of Policy and Government · Sep 14, 2026 · 803 people surveyed · https://www.washingtonpost.com/documents/08fa9b5e-43ac-456c-a706-4c33ec6506dc.pdfMike Rogers: 43% · EPIC-MRA · Aug 28, 2026 · 600 people surveyed · https://drive.google.com/file/d/1flmzB5xpdJ6Noa-3hAbms0vBml6KwAxy/view?usp=sharingMike Rogers: 45% · Michigan State University Institute for Public Policy and Social Research/YouGov · Aug 20, 2026 · 779 people surveyed · https://ippsr.msu.edu/news/msu-poll-shows-democrats-lead-republicans-coalesce-behind-rogersMike Rogers: 47% · Fabrizio, Lee & Associates/Impact Research · Aug 11, 2026 · 877 people surveyed · https://www.aarp.org/pri/topics/voter-research/politics/2026-midterm-election-poll-michigan/Mike Rogers: 44% · GBAO Strategies · Aug 10, 2026 · 800 people surveyed · https://www.politico.com/newsletters/playbook/2026/08/15/what-burritos-tell-us-about-capitalism-01038859Mike Rogers: 42% · SoCal Strategies · Jul 30, 2026 · 640 people surveyed · https://socalstrategies.substack.com/p/abdul-el-sayed-holds-17-point-primaryMike Rogers: 45% · Mitchell Research & Communications · Jul 29, 2026 · 672 people surveyed · https://static1.squarespace.com/static/5f14ae6fb2a20e01e9c6d608/t/6a6d26262f442f133d15fa49/1785538087149/MITCHELL+MI+Poll+Nov+Electio+Press+Release+7-31-2026+305PM_A.pdfMike Rogers: 49% · Glengariff Group, Inc. · Jul 24, 2026 · 600 people surveyed · https://mea.org/wp-content/uploads/2026/07/MICHIGAN-EDUCATION-SURVEY-REPORT-FINAL54.pdfMike Rogers: 44.1% · Quantus Insights · Jun 30, 2026 · 947 people surveyed · https://quantusinsights.org/f/michigan-senate-el-sayed-leads-primary-fall-race-remains-tightMike Rogers: 42% · Zenith Research · Jun 14, 2026 · 602 people surveyed · https://x.com/admcrlsn/status/2067419019544555546Mike Rogers: 41% · Tulchin Research · Jun 4, 2026 · 500 people surveyed · https://drive.google.com/file/d/15KbOIW_L4iGdkgIbMWDr2m80N0ZUr3d3/viewMike Rogers: 42% · TIPP Insights · May 23, 2026 · 1,163 people surveyed · https://tippinsights.com/league-of-american-workers-survey-michiganMike Rogers: 41% · Mitchell Research & Communications · May 7, 2026 · 607 people surveyed · https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/852uovvc2zfsqrnphdn9q/MIRS-MITCHELL-DEM-Primary-Press-Release-5-11-26-150PM_A.docx?rlkey=v522wmle6zvzlajt6m6nfoj78&st=zhm55ihc&dl=0Mike Rogers: 45% · Glengariff Group, Inc. · May 1, 2026 · 600 people surveyed · https://www.detroitchamber.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/05/DRC_Glengariff-Group_2026-Mackinac-Policy-Conference_POLITICAL-REPORT.pdfMike Rogers: 42.8% · Emerson College · Jan 25, 2026 · 1,000 people surveyed · https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1AtLJcs2z9R_NRY7eZqvKS256qHiVSUx0/edit?usp=sharing&ouid=111479937799022047482&rtpof=true&sd=trueMike Rogers: 48% · Glengariff Group, Inc. · Jan 6, 2026 · 600 people surveyed · https://www.detroitnews.com/story/news/politics/2026/01/13/michigan-race-for-governor-polling-john-james-jocelyn-benson-mike-duggan/88134923007/?gnt-cfr=1&gca-cat=p&gca-uir=false&gca-epti=undefined&gca-ft=0&gca-ds=sophiJan 6, 2026Sep 23, 2026
Abdul El-SayedMike Rogers

Dots show reported support. Lines connect surveys over time—not an average or forecast. Pollsters can differ. Missing values and multiple surveys ending on the same date break the lines.

How to read this chart

No average, trend estimate, or win probability. Different matchups and populations are not combined. Dates mark the last day people were surveyed. The vertical scale always starts at zero; use “Full 0–100% scale” to compare charts on the same scale. The number of people surveyed is the survey sample size, not the number supporting a candidate. Select “Survey source” to inspect every report, including overlapping dots.

Latest surveys · selected matchup

Reported survey results and methodological disclosures
Survey & field datesReported supportSample & disclosures
co/efficient ↗
Sep 21, 2026 – Sep 23, 2026
2026 Michigan
Abdul El-Sayed: 50%
Mike Rogers: 50%
Likely voters · 843 people surveyed
Survey details
Reported margin of error: Not supplied in this feed
Method: Not supplied in this feed
Sponsors: Not supplied in this feed
Partisan label: Not supplied
Internal poll: Not marked internal by provider
Added by provider: Sep 24, 2026
Provider ID: us-202co/b838141c
The New York Times/Siena University ↗
Sep 15, 2026 – Sep 22, 2026
2026 Michigan
Abdul El-Sayed: 49%
Mike Rogers: 44%
Likely voters · 605 people surveyed
Survey details
Reported margin of error: Not supplied in this feed
Method: Not supplied in this feed
Sponsors: Not supplied in this feed
Partisan label: Not supplied
Internal poll: Not marked internal by provider
Added by provider: Sep 24, 2026
Provider ID: us-202thecf4746de
The Washington Post/George Mason University School of Policy and Government ↗
Sep 10, 2026 – Sep 14, 2026
2026 Michigan
Abdul El-Sayed: 48%
Mike Rogers: 45%
Likely voters · 803 people surveyed
Survey details
Reported margin of error: Not supplied in this feed
Method: Not supplied in this feed
Sponsors: Not supplied in this feed
Partisan label: Not supplied
Internal poll: Not marked internal by provider
Added by provider: Sep 17, 2026
Provider ID: us-202the9066d3a5
EPIC-MRA ↗
Aug 22, 2026 – Aug 28, 2026
2026 Michigan
Abdul El-Sayed: 47%
Mike Rogers: 43%
Likely voters · 600 people surveyed
Survey details
Reported margin of error: Not supplied in this feed
Method: Not supplied in this feed
Sponsors: Not supplied in this feed
Partisan label: Not supplied
Internal poll: Not marked internal by provider
Added by provider: Aug 29, 2026
Provider ID: us-202epi5f481027
Michigan State University Institute for Public Policy and Social Research/YouGov ↗
Aug 10, 2026 – Aug 20, 2026
2026 Michigan
Abdul El-Sayed: 50%
Mike Rogers: 45%
Likely voters · 779 people surveyed
Survey details
Reported margin of error: Not supplied in this feed
Method: Not supplied in this feed
Sponsors: Not supplied in this feed
Partisan label: Not supplied
Internal poll: Not marked internal by provider
Added by provider: Sep 1, 2026
Provider ID: us-202micb55519f5
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates/Impact Research ↗
Aug 9, 2026 – Aug 11, 2026
2026 Michigan
Abdul El-Sayed: 48%
Mike Rogers: 47%
Likely voters · 877 people surveyed
Survey details
Reported margin of error: Not supplied in this feed
Method: Not supplied in this feed
Sponsors: AARP
Partisan label: Not supplied
Internal poll: Not marked internal by provider
Added by provider: Aug 20, 2026
Provider ID: us-202fab12ee3caf
GBAO Strategies ↗
Aug 6, 2026 – Aug 10, 2026
2026 Michigan
Abdul El-Sayed: 50%
Mike Rogers: 44%
Likely voters · 800 people surveyed
Survey details
Reported margin of error: Not supplied in this feed
Method: Not supplied in this feed
Sponsors: Senate Majority PAC
Partisan label: DEM
Internal poll: Not marked internal by provider
Added by provider: Aug 17, 2026
Provider ID: us-202gba7596c230
SoCal Strategies ↗
Jul 28, 2026 – Jul 30, 2026
2026 Michigan
Abdul El-Sayed: 41%
Mike Rogers: 42%
Likely voters · 640 people surveyed
Survey details
Reported margin of error: Not supplied in this feed
Method: Not supplied in this feed
Sponsors: Red Eagle Politics
Partisan label: REP
Internal poll: Not marked internal by provider
Added by provider: Jul 31, 2026
Provider ID: us-202soc6e865068

Labels and figures are supplied by VoteHub. A listed matchup does not establish ballot qualification or primary/general-election status unless the source explicitly says so. Unlisted responses may include undecided voters or other choices; the displayed figures are not rescaled to total 100%.

Polling compilation: VoteHub · CC BY 4.0. Election.org normalizes dates, matches races, and visualizes reported results; it does not estimate outcomes. Original survey links are attached to each report.

Automatic hourly sync. Latest survey ended 2026-09-27. Feed update status →

Last successful feed updates
  • Senate: 9/30/2026, 1:17:19 AM UTC · 319 survey records
  • House: 9/30/2026, 1:17:19 AM UTC · 90 survey records
  • Governor: 9/30/2026, 1:17:19 AM UTC · 256 survey records
  • National preference: 9/30/2026, 1:17:19 AM UTC · 303 survey records

An update time is when we checked the feed, not when a survey was conducted. Coverage is not exhaustive.

FILING RECORDS

Not the certified ballot.

Seat identity and the election schedule are verified separately from FEC filings. A filing does not establish ballot qualification.

FEC FILING RECORDS1111 with a financial summary
REPORTED RECEIPTS$49,358,221.38Sum of available candidate summaries
REPORTED SPENDING$38,496,845.02Not outside spending
Same rows for every filing record

2026 candidate research table

FEC PUBLIC RECORD

Listed alphabetically, with equal fields for each candidate. A missing summary stays “Not reported”; it never becomes zero.

Published election schedule

Primary, runoff, and general dates

DATES MAY CHANGE
PRIMARYAugust 4, 2026FEC congressional primary calendar
RUNOFFNo runoff date listedConfirm qualification rules with the state election office.
GENERALNovember 3, 2026Regular federal general election.

The FEC publishes this calendar but does not administer elections. State and local election officials determine ballot access, voting methods, and official candidate lists.

How to use this race page

Research the field without inventing certainty.

What is verified

FEC identity, office, state or district, filing classification, and available campaign-finance summaries; the FEC-published election dates are separately sourced.

What is not verified

Ballot qualification, ballot order, withdrawal status after the bulk file, primary eligibility, or a complete official sample ballot.

What to do next

Use each candidate record for money and source history, then confirm the final ballot through the responsible state or local election authority.

No verified prediction-market match is connected for this race yet. See national House and Senate market prices →