Elections/Montana/2026 U.S. Senate
Permanent contest record · 2026 federal election

2026 Montana U.S. Senate Election.

See the latest available surveys, explore candidate records, and check when to vote. Polling matchups and FEC filing records do not establish the final ballot.

U.S. SenateMontana U.S. SenateGeneral: November 3, 202610 filing records
POLLING · SURVEYS, NOT PREDICTIONS

What do the polls say?

23 survey records

Hover or tap a date to see the survey and source.

Polling history for the selected matchup4 survey observations. Vertical scale: reported support from 0 to 60 percent. Select a survey date to read its source. Arrow keys move between dates. Exact figures and source links follow in the table.0%15%30%45%60%Alani Bankhead: 23% · Quantus Insights · Sep 15, 2026 · 625 people surveyed · https://quantusinsights.org/f/latest-survey-alme-leads-as-montana%E2%80%99s-senate-opposition-splitsAlani Bankhead: 22% · Tavern Research · Jul 27, 2026 · 517 people surveyed · https://242750075.fs1.hubspotusercontent-na2.net/hubfs/242750075/Toplines%20-%20Montana%20Senate%20late%20July%2020260723_143910%20(2).pdfAlani Bankhead: 22% · The Bullfinch Group · Jul 16, 2026 · 793 people surveyed · https://www.semafor.com/article/07/28/2026/independent-group-eyes-delbenes-seatAlani Bankhead: 27% · Tavern Research · Jun 19, 2026 · 400 people surveyed · https://242750075.fs1.hubspotusercontent-na2.net/hubfs/242750075/Toplines%20-%20Montana%20Senate%20General%20Election%2020260616_161028%20(1).pdfKurt Alme: 44% · Quantus Insights · Sep 15, 2026 · 625 people surveyed · https://quantusinsights.org/f/latest-survey-alme-leads-as-montana%E2%80%99s-senate-opposition-splitsKurt Alme: 49% · Tavern Research · Jul 27, 2026 · 517 people surveyed · https://242750075.fs1.hubspotusercontent-na2.net/hubfs/242750075/Toplines%20-%20Montana%20Senate%20late%20July%2020260723_143910%20(2).pdfKurt Alme: 36% · The Bullfinch Group · Jul 16, 2026 · 793 people surveyed · https://www.semafor.com/article/07/28/2026/independent-group-eyes-delbenes-seatKurt Alme: 49% · Tavern Research · Jun 19, 2026 · 400 people surveyed · https://242750075.fs1.hubspotusercontent-na2.net/hubfs/242750075/Toplines%20-%20Montana%20Senate%20General%20Election%2020260616_161028%20(1).pdfSeth Bodnar: 24% · Quantus Insights · Sep 15, 2026 · 625 people surveyed · https://quantusinsights.org/f/latest-survey-alme-leads-as-montana%E2%80%99s-senate-opposition-splitsSeth Bodnar: 27% · Tavern Research · Jul 27, 2026 · 517 people surveyed · https://242750075.fs1.hubspotusercontent-na2.net/hubfs/242750075/Toplines%20-%20Montana%20Senate%20late%20July%2020260723_143910%20(2).pdfSeth Bodnar: 24% · The Bullfinch Group · Jul 16, 2026 · 793 people surveyed · https://www.semafor.com/article/07/28/2026/independent-group-eyes-delbenes-seatSeth Bodnar: 25% · Tavern Research · Jun 19, 2026 · 400 people surveyed · https://242750075.fs1.hubspotusercontent-na2.net/hubfs/242750075/Toplines%20-%20Montana%20Senate%20General%20Election%2020260616_161028%20(1).pdfJun 19, 2026Sep 15, 2026
Alani BankheadKurt AlmeSeth Bodnar

Dots show reported support. Lines connect surveys over time—not an average or forecast. Pollsters can differ. Missing values and multiple surveys ending on the same date break the lines.

How to read this chart

No average, trend estimate, or win probability. Different matchups and populations are not combined. Dates mark the last day people were surveyed. The vertical scale always starts at zero; use “Full 0–100% scale” to compare charts on the same scale. The number of people surveyed is the survey sample size, not the number supporting a candidate. Select “Survey source” to inspect every report, including overlapping dots.

Latest surveys · selected matchup

Reported survey results and methodological disclosures
Survey & field datesReported supportSample & disclosures
Quantus Insights ↗
Sep 14, 2026 – Sep 15, 2026
2026 Montana
Alani Bankhead: 23%
Kurt Alme: 44%
Seth Bodnar: 24%
Likely voters · 625 people surveyed
Survey details
Reported margin of error: Not supplied in this feed
Method: Not supplied in this feed
Sponsors: Not supplied in this feed
Partisan label: Not supplied
Internal poll: Not marked internal by provider
Added by provider: Sep 18, 2026
Provider ID: us-202qua7f691cd6
Tavern Research ↗
Jul 23, 2026 – Jul 27, 2026
2026 Montana
Alani Bankhead: 22%
Kurt Alme: 49%
Seth Bodnar: 27%
Likely voters · 517 people surveyed
Survey details
Reported margin of error: Not supplied in this feed
Method: Not supplied in this feed
Sponsors: Not supplied in this feed
Partisan label: Not supplied
Internal poll: Not marked internal by provider
Added by provider: Jul 28, 2026
Provider ID: us-202tav5960dbe5
The Bullfinch Group ↗
Jul 13, 2026 – Jul 16, 2026
2026 Montana
Alani Bankhead: 22%
Kurt Alme: 36%
Seth Bodnar: 24%
Likely voters · 793 people surveyed
Survey details
Reported margin of error: Not supplied in this feed
Method: Not supplied in this feed
Sponsors: The Independent Center
Partisan label: Not supplied
Internal poll: Not marked internal by provider
Added by provider: Jul 28, 2026
Provider ID: us-202theb6b894ea
Tavern Research ↗
Jun 16, 2026 – Jun 19, 2026
2026 Montana
Alani Bankhead: 27%
Kurt Alme: 49%
Seth Bodnar: 25%
Likely voters · 400 people surveyed
Survey details
Reported margin of error: Not supplied in this feed
Method: Not supplied in this feed
Sponsors: Not supplied in this feed
Partisan label: Not supplied
Internal poll: Not marked internal by provider
Added by provider: Jul 1, 2026
Provider ID: us-202tav5bb1680a

Labels and figures are supplied by VoteHub. A listed matchup does not establish ballot qualification or primary/general-election status unless the source explicitly says so. Unlisted responses may include undecided voters or other choices; the displayed figures are not rescaled to total 100%.

Polling compilation: VoteHub · CC BY 4.0. Election.org normalizes dates, matches races, and visualizes reported results; it does not estimate outcomes. Original survey links are attached to each report.

Automatic hourly sync. Latest survey ended 2026-09-24. Feed update status →

Last successful feed updates
  • Senate: 9/28/2026, 10:17:18 PM UTC · 313 survey records
  • House: 9/28/2026, 10:17:18 PM UTC · 86 survey records
  • Governor: 9/28/2026, 10:17:18 PM UTC · 250 survey records
  • National preference: 9/28/2026, 10:17:18 PM UTC · 303 survey records

An update time is when we checked the feed, not when a survey was conducted. Coverage is not exhaustive.

FILING RECORDS

Not the certified ballot.

Seat identity and the election schedule are verified separately from FEC filings. A filing does not establish ballot qualification.

FEC FILING RECORDS1010 with a financial summary
REPORTED RECEIPTS$10,615,271.60Sum of available candidate summaries
REPORTED SPENDING$7,255,769.96Not outside spending
Same rows for every filing record

2026 candidate research table

FEC PUBLIC RECORD

Listed alphabetically, with equal fields for each candidate. A missing summary stays “Not reported”; it never becomes zero.

Published election schedule

Primary, runoff, and general dates

DATES MAY CHANGE
PRIMARYJune 2, 2026FEC congressional primary calendar
RUNOFFNo runoff date listedConfirm qualification rules with the state election office.
GENERALNovember 3, 2026Regular federal general election.

The FEC publishes this calendar but does not administer elections. State and local election officials determine ballot access, voting methods, and official candidate lists.

How to use this race page

Research the field without inventing certainty.

What is verified

FEC identity, office, state or district, filing classification, and available campaign-finance summaries; the FEC-published election dates are separately sourced.

What is not verified

Ballot qualification, ballot order, withdrawal status after the bulk file, primary eligibility, or a complete official sample ballot.

What to do next

Use each candidate record for money and source history, then confirm the final ballot through the responsible state or local election authority.

No verified prediction-market match is connected for this race yet. See national House and Senate market prices →