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Elections/Montana/2026 U.S. Senate
Permanent contest record · 2026 federal election

2026 Montana U.S. Senate Election.

See official November candidate lists, registered write-ins where verified, polling and voting information. Earlier FEC filings are kept in the history below.

U.S. SenateMontana U.S. SenateGeneral: November 3, 2026

Make your voting plan

Montana
Voter registration guideOfficial registration options Open my election officeOfficial voter services Deadlines and rulesCheck your state’s sources →

Who is on the November ballot?

Open the election authority’s current November ballot list ↗

November write-in information

Write-in rules and filing deadlines vary by office and state. Check the current official list; the printed roster alone does not establish whether write-ins are eligible. Official write-in information ↗

FEC filing history (14 filing groups; 14 IDs)

This archive includes primary candidates and other filers. Inclusion here does not establish a November ballot place. Reported financial activity first, then names alphabetically; reviewed duplicate committee summaries are counted once.

Show 4 more filing records

Dates for November 3

Download calendar

Partial coverage: only the dated entries below have been checked. Confirm other deadlines and exceptions with your election office.

Montana · Sourced election dates

Checked 2026-10-16. Confirm local details and exceptions with your election office.

POLLING · SURVEYS, NOT PREDICTIONS

What do the polls say?

27 survey records

Reported support, with field dates and original sources. Surveys cover 2026 contests, including earlier cycle history from 2025. Older or hypothetical matchups do not establish who is on the current ballot.

Simple average, not a forecast

Last 30 days · Same matchup and population · Equal weight per pollster

Reported support · 0–100%

Likely voters

2 polls

–

1 of 2 internal or partisan surveys

  • Kurt Alme42.0%
  • Seth Bodnar30.0%
  • Alani Ines Bankhead19.5%
  • Kyle Austin2.0%

12.0 pts between the two highest answers

Included surveys & calculation

Add each answer’s reported support across these 2 surveys and divide by 2. No house effects, sample weights, undecided allocation or error band is applied. Figures are not rescaled to total 100%.

Population “a” (see source)

1 poll

–

  • Kurt Alme30.0%
  • Alani Ines Bankhead26.0%
  • Seth Bodnar21.0%
  • Kyle Austin3.0%

4.0 pts between the two highest answers

Included surveys & calculation

Add each answer’s reported support across these 1 surveys and divide by 1. No house effects, sample weights, undecided allocation or error band is applied. Figures are not rescaled to total 100%.

How the average works

Each pollster’s latest general-election survey ending within the last 30 days, with equal weight. Reviewed candidate identities join spelling variants; different matchups and voter populations stay separate. Percentages describe reported support, not a chance of winning.

Newest fieldwork appears first. When dates tie, the default favors more pollsters not marked internal or partisan in this 30-day window. Source labels remain visible; this is not a pollster-quality rating. Incomplete numeric matchups are excluded from this calculation but remain in the survey history. Full methodology →

Survey history

Hover or tap a date to see the survey and source.

Polling history for the selected matchup7 survey observations. Vertical scale: reported support from 0 to 60 percent. Select a survey date to read its source. Arrow keys move between dates. Exact figures and source links follow in the survey reports.0%15%30%45%60%Alani Ines Bankhead: 10% · Concord Public Opinion Partners · Oct 23, 2026 · 410 people surveyed · https://dfer.org/policy-polling-memos/montana/montana-general-election-poll-findings/Alani Ines Bankhead: 29% · Quantus Insights · Oct 18, 2026 · 686 people surveyed · https://quantusinsights.org/polling/f/montana-senate-alme-leads-by-16-as-bodnar-consolidatesAlani Ines Bankhead: 15% · Hart Research Associates · Aug 4, 2026 · 800 people surveyed · https://forwardmontana.org/results-of-new-polling-on-the-montana-u-s-senate-election/Alani Ines Bankhead: 24% · Tavern Research · Jul 27, 2026 · 517 people surveyed · https://242750075.fs1.hubspotusercontent-na2.net/hubfs/242750075/Toplines%20-%20Montana%20Senate%20late%20July%2020260723_143910%20(2).pdfAlani Ines Bankhead: 22% · GQR · Jul 26, 2026 · 500 people surveyed · https://www.gelliottmorris.com/p/2026-07-28-exclusive-independent-leads-democrat-against-republican-montanaAlani Ines Bankhead: 25% · GrayHouse · Jun 24, 2026 · 500 people surveyed · https://www.insideelections.com/news/article/montana-senate-new-poll-confirms-gop-edgeAlani Ines Bankhead: 25% · Public Opinion Strategies · Jun 11, 2026 · 500 people surveyed · https://www.semafor.com/article/06/18/2026/divided-montana-senate-field-helps-republicansKurt Alme: 38% · Concord Public Opinion Partners · Oct 23, 2026 · 410 people surveyed · https://dfer.org/policy-polling-memos/montana/montana-general-election-poll-findings/Kurt Alme: 46% · Quantus Insights · Oct 18, 2026 · 686 people surveyed · https://quantusinsights.org/polling/f/montana-senate-alme-leads-by-16-as-bodnar-consolidatesKurt Alme: 45% · Hart Research Associates · Aug 4, 2026 · 800 people surveyed · https://forwardmontana.org/results-of-new-polling-on-the-montana-u-s-senate-election/Kurt Alme: 49% · Tavern Research · Jul 27, 2026 · 517 people surveyed · https://242750075.fs1.hubspotusercontent-na2.net/hubfs/242750075/Toplines%20-%20Montana%20Senate%20late%20July%2020260723_143910%20(2).pdfKurt Alme: 41% · GQR · Jul 26, 2026 · 500 people surveyed · https://www.gelliottmorris.com/p/2026-07-28-exclusive-independent-leads-democrat-against-republican-montanaKurt Alme: 41% · GrayHouse · Jun 24, 2026 · 500 people surveyed · https://www.insideelections.com/news/article/montana-senate-new-poll-confirms-gop-edgeKurt Alme: 44% · Public Opinion Strategies · Jun 11, 2026 · 500 people surveyed · https://www.semafor.com/article/06/18/2026/divided-montana-senate-field-helps-republicansKyle Austin: 2% · Concord Public Opinion Partners · Oct 23, 2026 · 410 people surveyed · https://dfer.org/policy-polling-memos/montana/montana-general-election-poll-findings/Kyle Austin: 2% · Quantus Insights · Oct 18, 2026 · 686 people surveyed · https://quantusinsights.org/polling/f/montana-senate-alme-leads-by-16-as-bodnar-consolidatesKyle Austin: 6% · Hart Research Associates · Aug 4, 2026 · 800 people surveyed · https://forwardmontana.org/results-of-new-polling-on-the-montana-u-s-senate-election/Kyle Austin: 2% · Tavern Research · Jul 27, 2026 · 517 people surveyed · https://242750075.fs1.hubspotusercontent-na2.net/hubfs/242750075/Toplines%20-%20Montana%20Senate%20late%20July%2020260723_143910%20(2).pdfKyle Austin: 6% · GQR · Jul 26, 2026 · 500 people surveyed · https://www.gelliottmorris.com/p/2026-07-28-exclusive-independent-leads-democrat-against-republican-montanaKyle Austin: 3% · GrayHouse · Jun 24, 2026 · 500 people surveyed · https://www.insideelections.com/news/article/montana-senate-new-poll-confirms-gop-edgeKyle Austin: 4% · Public Opinion Strategies · Jun 11, 2026 · 500 people surveyed · https://www.semafor.com/article/06/18/2026/divided-montana-senate-field-helps-republicansSeth Bodnar: 39% · Concord Public Opinion Partners · Oct 23, 2026 · 410 people surveyed · https://dfer.org/policy-polling-memos/montana/montana-general-election-poll-findings/Seth Bodnar: 21% · Quantus Insights · Oct 18, 2026 · 686 people surveyed · https://quantusinsights.org/polling/f/montana-senate-alme-leads-by-16-as-bodnar-consolidatesSeth Bodnar: 30% · Hart Research Associates · Aug 4, 2026 · 800 people surveyed · https://forwardmontana.org/results-of-new-polling-on-the-montana-u-s-senate-election/Seth Bodnar: 25% · Tavern Research · Jul 27, 2026 · 517 people surveyed · https://242750075.fs1.hubspotusercontent-na2.net/hubfs/242750075/Toplines%20-%20Montana%20Senate%20late%20July%2020260723_143910%20(2).pdfSeth Bodnar: 27% · GQR · Jul 26, 2026 · 500 people surveyed · https://www.gelliottmorris.com/p/2026-07-28-exclusive-independent-leads-democrat-against-republican-montanaSeth Bodnar: 17% · GrayHouse · Jun 24, 2026 · 500 people surveyed · https://www.insideelections.com/news/article/montana-senate-new-poll-confirms-gop-edgeSeth Bodnar: 20% · Public Opinion Strategies · Jun 11, 2026 · 500 people surveyed · https://www.semafor.com/article/06/18/2026/divided-montana-senate-field-helps-republicansJun 11, 2026Oct 23, 2026
Alani Ines BankheadKurt AlmeKyle AustinSeth Bodnar

Dots show reported support; connecting lines are not an average or forecast.

How to read this chart

Party colors: Republican red, Democratic blue, Independent purple. Other or unmatched affiliations are gray. Dash patterns distinguish candidates sharing a color.

Dots show reported support. Lines connect surveys over time—not an average or forecast. Pollsters can differ. Missing values and multiple surveys ending on the same date break the lines.

No average, trend estimate, or win probability. Different matchups and populations are not combined. Dates mark the last day people were surveyed. The vertical scale always starts at zero; use “Full 0–100% scale” to compare charts on the same scale. The number of people surveyed is the survey sample size, not the number supporting a candidate. Select “Survey source” to inspect every report, including overlapping dots.

Individual survey reports (7)

Latest surveys · selected matchup

Individual reports. Original sources and methodology below.

Fieldwork –
Reported support

0–100% scale · Listed alphabetically

Sample
410 people surveyed
Population
Likely voters
Survey details & methodology
Reported margin of error
Not supplied in this feed
Method
Not supplied in this feed
Sponsors
Democrats for Education Reform
Pollster/sponsor partisan label
DEM
Internal poll
Not marked internal by provider
Added by provider
Provider ID
us-202conf574c6cb
Fieldwork –
Reported support

0–100% scale · Listed alphabetically

Sample
686 people surveyed
Population
Likely voters
Survey details & methodology
Reported margin of error
Not supplied in this feed
Method
Not supplied in this feed
Sponsors
Not supplied in this feed
Pollster/sponsor partisan label
Not supplied
Internal poll
Not marked internal by provider
Added by provider
Provider ID
us-202qua7812bd54
Fieldwork –
Reported support

0–100% scale · Listed alphabetically

Sample
800 people surveyed
Population
Likely voters
Survey details & methodology
Reported margin of error
Not supplied in this feed
Method
Not supplied in this feed
Sponsors
Forward Montana
Pollster/sponsor partisan label
Not supplied
Internal poll
Not marked internal by provider
Added by provider
Provider ID
us-202har82b4bcdc
2026 Montana

Tavern Research

Fieldwork –
Reported support

0–100% scale · Listed alphabetically

Sample
517 people surveyed
Population
Likely voters
Survey details & methodology
Reported margin of error
Not supplied in this feed
Method
Not supplied in this feed
Sponsors
Not supplied in this feed
Pollster/sponsor partisan label
Not supplied
Internal poll
Not marked internal by provider
Added by provider
Provider ID
us-202tav83ffdf29
2026 Montana

GQR

Fieldwork –
Reported support

0–100% scale · Listed alphabetically

Sample
500 people surveyed
Population
Likely voters
Survey details & methodology
Reported margin of error
Not supplied in this feed
Method
Not supplied in this feed
Sponsors
Contours Inc.
Pollster/sponsor partisan label
Not supplied
Internal poll
Not marked internal by provider
Added by provider
Provider ID
us-202gqr6f3c3766
2026 Montana

GrayHouse

Fieldwork –
Reported support

0–100% scale · Listed alphabetically

Sample
500 people surveyed
Population
Likely voters
Survey details & methodology
Reported margin of error
Not supplied in this feed
Method
Not supplied in this feed
Sponsors
Not supplied in this feed
Pollster/sponsor partisan label
REP
Internal poll
Not marked internal by provider
Added by provider
Provider ID
us-202gra7bd23a76
Fieldwork –
Reported support

0–100% scale · Listed alphabetically

Sample
500 people surveyed
Population
Likely voters
Survey details & methodology
Reported margin of error
Not supplied in this feed
Method
Not supplied in this feed
Sponsors
The Political Company
Pollster/sponsor partisan label
REP
Internal poll
Not marked internal by provider
Added by provider
Provider ID
us-202pubfd67a5f3

Labels and figures are supplied by VoteHub. A listed matchup does not establish ballot qualification or primary/general-election status unless the source explicitly says so. Unlisted responses may include undecided voters or other choices; the displayed figures are not rescaled to total 100%.

Polling compilation: VoteHub · CC BY 4.0. Election.org normalizes dates, matches races, and visualizes reported results; it does not estimate outcomes. Original survey links are attached to each report.

Automatic hourly sync. Across all feeds, the latest survey ended 2026-11-02. Check the field dates above for this selection. Feed update status →

Last successful feed updates
  • Senate: 11/9/2026, 4:17:20 AM UTC · 574 survey records
  • House: 11/9/2026, 4:17:20 AM UTC · 190 survey records
  • Governor: 11/9/2026, 4:17:20 AM UTC · 459 survey records
  • National preference: 11/9/2026, 4:17:20 AM UTC · 546 survey records

An update time is when we checked the feed, not when a survey was conducted. Coverage is not exhaustive.

FEC FILING RECORDS1410 distinct current financial summaries
REPORTED RECEIPTS$13,518,041.31Available summaries; shared principal-committee money counted once
REPORTED SPENDING$11,480,138.33Not outside spending
Published election schedule

Election dates

DATES MAY CHANGE
PRIMARYJune 2, 2026FEC congressional primary calendar
GENERALNovember 3, 2026Regular federal general election.

The FEC publishes this calendar but does not administer elections. State and local election officials determine ballot access, voting methods, and official candidate lists.

Sources and filing coverage
FILING RECORDS

Not the certified ballot.

Seat identity and the election schedule are verified separately from FEC filings. A filing does not establish ballot qualification.

How to use this race page

November candidate names come from the official general-election sources linked beside each person. Registered write-ins have their own list. FEC filing history preserves earlier primary and other campaign records; filing or fundraising alone does not establish November eligibility. Confirm your full local sample ballot with the election authority.

Sources & notes
Source & freshness

Candidate recordsFederal Election Commission ↗

DatesOfficial election schedule ↗

Filing data checked2026-10-29

Seat & election checked2026-09-16

Verify seat / election · www.senate.gov ↗

Verify seat / election · www.fec.gov ↗

Ballot statusCheck election authority

No verified prediction-market match is connected for this race yet. See national House and Senate market prices →

Continue researching

Keep exploring Montana.

Follow the people, the money, and the official election information.

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