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Election.orgRaces & polls
Elections/Texas/2026 U.S. Senate
Permanent contest record · 2026 federal election

2026 Texas U.S. Senate Election.

See official November candidate lists, registered write-ins where verified, polling and voting information. Earlier FEC filings are kept in the history below.

U.S. SenateTexas U.S. SenateGeneral: November 3, 20263 November ballot names

Make your voting plan

Texas

Election Day hours: 7 a.m.–7 p.m. local time

Who is on the November ballot?

November 3, 2026 · 3 printed ballot names · alphabetical

Official November list checked .

Registered November write-in candidates

These names belong on the official write-in list, rather than the printed candidate list.

FEC filing history (41 filing groups; 41 IDs)

This archive includes primary candidates and other filers. Inclusion here does not establish a November ballot place. Reported financial activity first, then names alphabetically; reviewed duplicate committee summaries are counted once.

Party not listed

Bradford Winston Hall

Not on the reviewed printed November ballot. This FEC filing does not appear in the reviewed official printed November field for this exact contest. Registered write-ins are tracked separately where an official list is available. Absence does not establish a primary loss or withdrawal. Official stage source ↗

Not on the reviewed printed November ballot · Verified ↗
Receipts
$5,430.00
Spent
$5,352.30
Cash
$77.70

Through · Last successful import

Democratic Party

Colin Allred

Not on the reviewed printed November ballot. This FEC filing does not appear in the reviewed official printed November field for this exact contest. Registered write-ins are tracked separately where an official list is available. Absence does not establish a primary loss or withdrawal. Official stage source ↗

Not on the reviewed printed November ballot · Verified ↗
Receipts
$7,630,708.50
Spent
$7,774,441.19
Cash
$401.95

Through · Last successful import

Libertarian Party

Daniel M Sims

Not on the reviewed printed November ballot. This FEC filing does not appear in the reviewed official printed November field for this exact contest. Registered write-ins are tracked separately where an official list is available. Absence does not establish a primary loss or withdrawal. Official stage source ↗

Not on the reviewed printed November ballot · Verified ↗
Receipts
$11,665.57
Spent
$11,565.57
Cash
$200.00

Through · Last successful import

Independent

Jade Simmons

Not on the reviewed printed November ballot. This FEC filing does not appear in the reviewed official printed November field for this exact contest. Registered write-ins are tracked separately where an official list is available. Absence does not establish a primary loss or withdrawal. Official stage source ↗

Not on the reviewed printed November ballot · Verified ↗
Receipts
$9,324.49
Spent
$8,368.73
Cash
$955.76

Through · Last successful import

Republican Party

Keith Allen

Not on the reviewed printed November ballot. This FEC filing does not appear in the reviewed official printed November field for this exact contest. Registered write-ins are tracked separately where an official list is available. Absence does not establish a primary loss or withdrawal. Official stage source ↗

Not on the reviewed printed November ballot · Verified ↗
Receipts
$156,626.79
Spent
$157,571.33
Cash
$0.00

Through · Last successful import

Show 31 more filing records
Democratic Party

Michael Swanson

Not on the reviewed printed November ballot. This FEC filing does not appear in the reviewed official printed November field for this exact contest. Registered write-ins are tracked separately where an official list is available. Absence does not establish a primary loss or withdrawal. Official stage source ↗

Not on the reviewed printed November ballot · Verified ↗
Receipts
$6,991.29
Spent
$6,991.29
Cash
$0.00

Through · Last successful import

Democratic Party

Terry Virts

Not on the reviewed printed November ballot. This FEC filing does not appear in the reviewed official printed November field for this exact contest. Registered write-ins are tracked separately where an official list is available. Absence does not establish a primary loss or withdrawal. Official stage source ↗

Not on the reviewed printed November ballot · Verified ↗
Receipts
$666,753.76
Spent
$455,642.32
Cash
$55,965.14

Through · Last successful import

Republican Party

Tony Schmoker

Not on the reviewed printed November ballot. This FEC filing does not appear in the reviewed official printed November field for this exact contest. Registered write-ins are tracked separately where an official list is available. Absence does not establish a primary loss or withdrawal. Official stage source ↗

Not on the reviewed printed November ballot · Verified ↗
Receipts
$2,500.00
Spent
$3,106.71
Cash
$0.00

Through · Last successful import

American Party

Zul Mirza Mohamed

Not on the reviewed printed November ballot. This FEC filing does not appear in the reviewed official printed November field for this exact contest. Registered write-ins are tracked separately where an official list is available. Absence does not establish a primary loss or withdrawal. Official stage source ↗

Not on the reviewed printed November ballot · Verified ↗
Receipts
$0.00
Spent
$328.22
Cash
-$328.22

Through · Last successful import

Negative cash balance reported in the FEC summary; see source filing.

Republican Party

Alexander Duncan

Not on the reviewed printed November ballot. This FEC filing does not appear in the reviewed official printed November field for this exact contest. Registered write-ins are tracked separately where an official list is available. Absence does not establish a primary loss or withdrawal. Official stage source ↗

Not on the reviewed printed November ballot · Verified ↗

No FEC financial summary processed in this import. Check the candidate’s FEC filings ↗

Republican Party

Alexander Duncan

Not on the reviewed printed November ballot. This FEC filing does not appear in the reviewed official printed November field for this exact contest. Registered write-ins are tracked separately where an official list is available. Absence does not establish a primary loss or withdrawal. Official stage source ↗

Not on the reviewed printed November ballot · Verified ↗

No FEC financial summary processed in this import. Check the candidate’s FEC filings ↗

Republican Party

Andrew Alvarez

Not on the reviewed printed November ballot. This FEC filing does not appear in the reviewed official printed November field for this exact contest. Registered write-ins are tracked separately where an official list is available. Absence does not establish a primary loss or withdrawal. Official stage source ↗

Not on the reviewed printed November ballot · Verified ↗

No FEC financial summary processed in this import. Check the candidate’s FEC filings ↗

Republican Party

Andrew Kyle Trakas

Not on the reviewed printed November ballot. This FEC filing does not appear in the reviewed official printed November field for this exact contest. Registered write-ins are tracked separately where an official list is available. Absence does not establish a primary loss or withdrawal. Official stage source ↗

Not on the reviewed printed November ballot · Verified ↗

No FEC financial summary processed in this import. Check the candidate’s FEC filings ↗

Party not listed

Avery L Ayers

Not on the reviewed printed November ballot. This FEC filing does not appear in the reviewed official printed November field for this exact contest. Registered write-ins are tracked separately where an official list is available. Absence does not establish a primary loss or withdrawal. Official stage source ↗

Not on the reviewed printed November ballot · Verified ↗
Receipts
$0.00
Spent
$0.00
Cash
$210.00

Through · Last successful import

Republican Party

Barrett Anthony McNabb

Not on the reviewed printed November ballot. This FEC filing does not appear in the reviewed official printed November field for this exact contest. Registered write-ins are tracked separately where an official list is available. Absence does not establish a primary loss or withdrawal. Official stage source ↗

Not on the reviewed printed November ballot · Verified ↗

No FEC financial summary processed in this import. Check the candidate’s FEC filings ↗

None

Camencia Ford

Not on the reviewed printed November ballot. This FEC filing does not appear in the reviewed official printed November field for this exact contest. Registered write-ins are tracked separately where an official list is available. Absence does not establish a primary loss or withdrawal. Official stage source ↗

Not on the reviewed printed November ballot · Verified ↗

No FEC financial summary processed in this import. Check the candidate’s FEC filings ↗

Republican Party

Doc Leo Wyatt

Not on the reviewed printed November ballot. This FEC filing does not appear in the reviewed official printed November field for this exact contest. Registered write-ins are tracked separately where an official list is available. Absence does not establish a primary loss or withdrawal. Official stage source ↗

Not on the reviewed printed November ballot · Verified ↗

No FEC financial summary processed in this import. Check the candidate’s FEC filings ↗

Democratic Party

Emily Morgul

Not on the reviewed printed November ballot. This FEC filing does not appear in the reviewed official printed November field for this exact contest. Registered write-ins are tracked separately where an official list is available. Absence does not establish a primary loss or withdrawal. Official stage source ↗

Not on the reviewed printed November ballot · Verified ↗

No FEC financial summary processed in this import. Check the candidate’s FEC filings ↗

Republican Party

Gavin Solomon

Not on the reviewed printed November ballot. This FEC filing does not appear in the reviewed official printed November field for this exact contest. Registered write-ins are tracked separately where an official list is available. Absence does not establish a primary loss or withdrawal. Official stage source ↗

Not on the reviewed printed November ballot · Verified ↗

No FEC financial summary processed in this import. Check the candidate’s FEC filings ↗

Party not listed

Gavin Solomon

Not on the reviewed printed November ballot. This FEC filing does not appear in the reviewed official printed November field for this exact contest. Registered write-ins are tracked separately where an official list is available. Absence does not establish a primary loss or withdrawal. Official stage source ↗

Not on the reviewed printed November ballot · Verified ↗

No FEC financial summary processed in this import. Check the candidate’s FEC filings ↗

Party not listed

Gavin Solomon

Not on the reviewed printed November ballot. This FEC filing does not appear in the reviewed official printed November field for this exact contest. Registered write-ins are tracked separately where an official list is available. Absence does not establish a primary loss or withdrawal. Official stage source ↗

Not on the reviewed printed November ballot · Verified ↗

No FEC financial summary processed in this import. Check the candidate’s FEC filings ↗

None

Hans Truelson

Not on the reviewed printed November ballot. This FEC filing does not appear in the reviewed official printed November field for this exact contest. Registered write-ins are tracked separately where an official list is available. Absence does not establish a primary loss or withdrawal. Official stage source ↗

Not on the reviewed printed November ballot · Verified ↗

No FEC financial summary processed in this import. Check the candidate’s FEC filings ↗

Independent

Jade Simmons

Not on the reviewed printed November ballot. This FEC filing does not appear in the reviewed official printed November field for this exact contest. Registered write-ins are tracked separately where an official list is available. Absence does not establish a primary loss or withdrawal. Official stage source ↗

Not on the reviewed printed November ballot · Verified ↗

No FEC financial summary processed in this import. Check the candidate’s FEC filings ↗

Liberal Party

Jennifer Tawanda Brown Gaines

Not on the reviewed printed November ballot. This FEC filing does not appear in the reviewed official printed November field for this exact contest. Registered write-ins are tracked separately where an official list is available. Absence does not establish a primary loss or withdrawal. Official stage source ↗

Not on the reviewed printed November ballot · Verified ↗

No FEC financial summary processed in this import. Check the candidate’s FEC filings ↗

Independent

Joshua Cain

Not on the reviewed printed November ballot. This FEC filing does not appear in the reviewed official printed November field for this exact contest. Registered write-ins are tracked separately where an official list is available. Absence does not establish a primary loss or withdrawal. Official stage source ↗

Not on the reviewed printed November ballot · Verified ↗

No FEC financial summary processed in this import. Check the candidate’s FEC filings ↗

Democratic Party

Paula Stephen Williams

Not on the reviewed printed November ballot. This FEC filing does not appear in the reviewed official printed November field for this exact contest. Registered write-ins are tracked separately where an official list is available. Absence does not establish a primary loss or withdrawal. Official stage source ↗

Not on the reviewed printed November ballot · Verified ↗

No FEC financial summary processed in this import. Check the candidate’s FEC filings ↗

Republican Party

Rennie Hill Mann

Not on the reviewed printed November ballot. This FEC filing does not appear in the reviewed official printed November field for this exact contest. Registered write-ins are tracked separately where an official list is available. Absence does not establish a primary loss or withdrawal. Official stage source ↗

Not on the reviewed printed November ballot · Verified ↗

No FEC financial summary processed in this import. Check the candidate’s FEC filings ↗

Party not listed

Rodger Huse

Not on the reviewed printed November ballot. This FEC filing does not appear in the reviewed official printed November field for this exact contest. Registered write-ins are tracked separately where an official list is available. Absence does not establish a primary loss or withdrawal. Official stage source ↗

Not on the reviewed printed November ballot · Verified ↗

No FEC financial summary processed in this import. Check the candidate’s FEC filings ↗

Independent

Ronald Evans Jr.

Not on the reviewed printed November ballot. This FEC filing does not appear in the reviewed official printed November field for this exact contest. Registered write-ins are tracked separately where an official list is available. Absence does not establish a primary loss or withdrawal. Official stage source ↗

Not on the reviewed printed November ballot · Verified ↗

No FEC financial summary processed in this import. Check the candidate’s FEC filings ↗

Dates for November 3

Download calendar

Partial coverage: only the dated entries below have been checked. Confirm other deadlines and exceptions with your election office.

Identification: Acceptable photo ID required, with a supporting-ID and Reasonable Impediment Declaration option when eligible. Check the official exceptions and expiration rules. Official rules

Regular registration closes October 5. New registration requires printing and delivering the application; an online form alone does not register you. Source

Checked 2026-10-11. Confirm local details and exceptions with your election office.

POLLING · SURVEYS, NOT PREDICTIONS

What do the polls say?

105 survey records

Reported support, with field dates and original sources. Surveys cover 2026 contests, including earlier cycle history from 2025. Older or hypothetical matchups do not establish who is on the current ballot.

Simple average, not a forecast

Last 30 days · Same matchup and population · Equal weight per pollster

Reported support · 0–100%

Likely voters

8 polls

–

  • James Talarico49.5%
  • Ken Paxton46.6%

2.9 pts between the two highest answers

Included surveys & calculation

Add each answer’s reported support across these 8 surveys and divide by 8. No house effects, sample weights, undecided allocation or error band is applied. Figures are not rescaled to total 100%.

Likely voters

6 polls

–

  • James Talarico48.4%
  • Ken Paxton45.9%
  • Ted Brown1.9%

2.5 pts between the two highest answers

Included surveys & calculation

Add each answer’s reported support across these 6 surveys and divide by 6. No house effects, sample weights, undecided allocation or error band is applied. Figures are not rescaled to total 100%.

Registered voters

1 poll

–

  • James Talarico50.0%
  • Ken Paxton45.0%

5.0 pts between the two highest answers

Included surveys & calculation

Add each answer’s reported support across these 1 surveys and divide by 1. No house effects, sample weights, undecided allocation or error band is applied. Figures are not rescaled to total 100%.

How the average works

Each pollster’s latest general-election survey ending within the last 30 days, with equal weight. Reviewed candidate identities join spelling variants; different matchups and voter populations stay separate. Percentages describe reported support, not a chance of winning.

Newest fieldwork appears first. When dates tie, the default favors more pollsters not marked internal or partisan in this 30-day window. Source labels remain visible; this is not a pollster-quality rating. Incomplete numeric matchups are excluded from this calculation but remain in the survey history. Full methodology →

Survey history

Hover or tap a date to see the survey and source.

Polling history for the selected matchup27 survey observations. Vertical scale: reported support from 0 to 60 percent. Select a survey date to read its source. Arrow keys move between dates. Exact figures and source links follow in the survey reports.0%15%30%45%60%James Talarico: 50% · The New York Times/Siena University · Nov 1, 2026 · 1,215 people surveyed · https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2026/11/01/polls/times-siena-tx-poll-toplines.htmlJames Talarico: 52.1% · ActiVote · Oct 28, 2026 · 400 people surveyed · https://www.activote.net/polls/2026/tx-u-s-senate/James Talarico: 48.4% · Quantus Insights · Oct 28, 2026 · 1,221 people surveyed · https://quantusinsights.org/polling/f/texas-survey-paxton-up-one-abbott-ahead-by-fiveJames Talarico: 50.2% · A2 Insights · Oct 27, 2026 · 631 people surveyed · https://drive.google.com/file/d/1UACnmnM84Dd1hU0l6iqHNgXkyh5oCelO/viewJames Talarico: 49% · CNN/SSRS · Oct 27, 2026 · 923 people surveyed · https://www.cnn.com/2026/10/29/politics/cnn-polls-michigan-maine-texas-kansas-senate-races-midterms-visJames Talarico: 51% · ActiVote · Oct 21, 2026 · 400 people surveyed · https://www.activote.net/polls/2026/tx-u-s-senate/James Talarico: 49% · Beacon Research/Shaw & Co. Research · Oct 19, 2026 · 1,398 people surveyed · https://www.foxnews.com/politics/fox-news-poll-texas-senate-race-galloping-toward-photo-finishJames Talarico: 51.9% · ActiVote · Oct 14, 2026 · 400 people surveyed · https://www.activote.net/polls/2026/tx-u-s-senate/2026-10-14/James Talarico: 48% · InsiderAdvantage · Oct 14, 2026 · 1,200 people surveyed · https://insideradvantage.com/insideradvantage-senate-surveys-texas-paxton-49-talarico-48-kansas-marshall-48-hamilton-47-maine-jackson-49-collins-47/James Talarico: 49% · New River Strategies/GS Strategy Group · Oct 13, 2026 · 934 people surveyed · https://www.cookpolitical.com/analysis/survey-research/battleground-district-project/senate-battleground-district-project-october?utm_medium=email_action&utm_source=customer.ioJames Talarico: 48% · ReconMR/Siena University · Oct 8, 2026 · 617 people surveyed · https://reconmr.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/10/TXP004-October-Press-Release.pdfJames Talarico: 51% · Beacon Research/Shaw & Co. Research · Sep 28, 2026 · 881 people surveyed · https://www.foxnews.com/politics/fox-news-poll-its-lone-star-senate-showdown-between-talarico-paxtonJames Talarico: 49% · ReconMR/Siena University · Sep 11, 2026 · 614 people surveyed · https://sri.siena.edu/2026/09/17/hinojosa-now-leads-abbott-by-4-points-talarico-widens-lead-to-6-points/James Talarico: 48% · Fabrizio Ward/Impact Research · Sep 1, 2026 · 895 people surveyed · https://www.aarp.org/pri/topics/voter-research/politics/2026-midterm-election-poll-texasJames Talarico: 46% · Emerson College · Aug 10, 2026 · 1,000 people surveyed · https://emersoncollegepolling.com/texas-2026-poll-paxton-and-talarico/James Talarico: 48% · Wedgewood Polls · Jul 31, 2026 · 800 people surveyed · https://drive.google.com/file/u/1/d/1t2mC4MFActxiBdx4ef_5crisXjD9xH7a/viewJames Talarico: 47% · ReconMR/Siena University · Jul 30, 2026 · 619 people surveyed · https://reconmr.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/08/Texas-Pulse-August-Release-August-7-2026-Final.pdfJames Talarico: 48.4% · A2 Insights · Jun 28, 2026 · 618 people surveyed · https://substack.com/@a2insights/note/c-285306220James Talarico: 47% · The New York Times/Siena University · Jun 27, 2026 · 656 people surveyed · https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2026/06/30/polls/times-siena-texas-poll-crosstabs.html#composition-of-the-sampleJames Talarico: 43% · Quantus Insights · Jun 4, 2026 · 800 people surveyed · https://drive.google.com/file/d/1U-DMOuPcsD0P-B5F_m-rfw3Bv1yXSeS7/view?usp=sharingJames Talarico: 47% · ReconMR/Siena University · Jun 4, 2026 · 807 people surveyed · https://reconmr.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/06/TXPLV-Crosstabs-1.pdfJames Talarico: 48% · Slingshot Strategies · May 28, 2026 · 1,670 people surveyed · https://drive.google.com/file/d/1lCiaC7xw4VTmc2I4aHRZ-Pi3McLOwsrI/viewJames Talarico: 45% · Texas Southern University Barbara Jordan Public Policy Research and Survey Center · May 6, 2026 · 1,223 people surveyed · https://drive.google.com/file/d/1_iPARgG4ScAjPXaqXfHse9R9hnvGS6If/viewJames Talarico: 46% · Texas Public Opinion Research · Apr 20, 2026 · 1,018 people surveyed · https://www.texastribune.org/wp-content/uploads/2026/04/TPOR-April-2026-TXSEN-poll.pdfJames Talarico: 44% · Impact Research · Mar 17, 2026 · 900 people surveyed · https://www.politico.com/live-updates/2026/03/20/congress/texas-senate-talarico-cornyn-paxton-poll-00837336James Talarico: 44% · University of Houston/YouGov · Jan 31, 2026 · 1,502 people surveyed · https://www.uh.edu/hobby/primary2026/senate.pdfJames Talarico: 44% · Ragnar Research Partners · Nov 17, 2025 · 1,000 people surveyed · https://www.politico.com/f/?id=0000019a-9d57-df0f-abfa-fd7fac900000Ken Paxton: 43% · The New York Times/Siena University · Nov 1, 2026 · 1,215 people surveyed · https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2026/11/01/polls/times-siena-tx-poll-toplines.htmlKen Paxton: 47.9% · ActiVote · Oct 28, 2026 · 400 people surveyed · https://www.activote.net/polls/2026/tx-u-s-senate/Ken Paxton: 49.4% · Quantus Insights · Oct 28, 2026 · 1,221 people surveyed · https://quantusinsights.org/polling/f/texas-survey-paxton-up-one-abbott-ahead-by-fiveKen Paxton: 47.2% · A2 Insights · Oct 27, 2026 · 631 people surveyed · https://drive.google.com/file/d/1UACnmnM84Dd1hU0l6iqHNgXkyh5oCelO/viewKen Paxton: 43% · CNN/SSRS · Oct 27, 2026 · 923 people surveyed · https://www.cnn.com/2026/10/29/politics/cnn-polls-michigan-maine-texas-kansas-senate-races-midterms-visKen Paxton: 49% · ActiVote · Oct 21, 2026 · 400 people surveyed · https://www.activote.net/polls/2026/tx-u-s-senate/Ken Paxton: 49% · Beacon Research/Shaw & Co. Research · Oct 19, 2026 · 1,398 people surveyed · https://www.foxnews.com/politics/fox-news-poll-texas-senate-race-galloping-toward-photo-finishKen Paxton: 48.1% · ActiVote · Oct 14, 2026 · 400 people surveyed · https://www.activote.net/polls/2026/tx-u-s-senate/2026-10-14/Ken Paxton: 49% · InsiderAdvantage · Oct 14, 2026 · 1,200 people surveyed · https://insideradvantage.com/insideradvantage-senate-surveys-texas-paxton-49-talarico-48-kansas-marshall-48-hamilton-47-maine-jackson-49-collins-47/Ken Paxton: 44% · New River Strategies/GS Strategy Group · Oct 13, 2026 · 934 people surveyed · https://www.cookpolitical.com/analysis/survey-research/battleground-district-project/senate-battleground-district-project-october?utm_medium=email_action&utm_source=customer.ioKen Paxton: 44% · ReconMR/Siena University · Oct 8, 2026 · 617 people surveyed · https://reconmr.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/10/TXP004-October-Press-Release.pdfKen Paxton: 49% · Beacon Research/Shaw & Co. Research · Sep 28, 2026 · 881 people surveyed · https://www.foxnews.com/politics/fox-news-poll-its-lone-star-senate-showdown-between-talarico-paxtonKen Paxton: 43% · ReconMR/Siena University · Sep 11, 2026 · 614 people surveyed · https://sri.siena.edu/2026/09/17/hinojosa-now-leads-abbott-by-4-points-talarico-widens-lead-to-6-points/Ken Paxton: 44% · Fabrizio Ward/Impact Research · Sep 1, 2026 · 895 people surveyed · https://www.aarp.org/pri/topics/voter-research/politics/2026-midterm-election-poll-texasKen Paxton: 47% · Emerson College · Aug 10, 2026 · 1,000 people surveyed · https://emersoncollegepolling.com/texas-2026-poll-paxton-and-talarico/Ken Paxton: 46% · Wedgewood Polls · Jul 31, 2026 · 800 people surveyed · https://drive.google.com/file/u/1/d/1t2mC4MFActxiBdx4ef_5crisXjD9xH7a/viewKen Paxton: 43% · ReconMR/Siena University · Jul 30, 2026 · 619 people surveyed · https://reconmr.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/08/Texas-Pulse-August-Release-August-7-2026-Final.pdfKen Paxton: 46.1% · A2 Insights · Jun 28, 2026 · 618 people surveyed · https://substack.com/@a2insights/note/c-285306220Ken Paxton: 47% · The New York Times/Siena University · Jun 27, 2026 · 656 people surveyed · https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2026/06/30/polls/times-siena-texas-poll-crosstabs.html#composition-of-the-sampleKen Paxton: 45% · Quantus Insights · Jun 4, 2026 · 800 people surveyed · https://drive.google.com/file/d/1U-DMOuPcsD0P-B5F_m-rfw3Bv1yXSeS7/view?usp=sharingKen Paxton: 44% · ReconMR/Siena University · Jun 4, 2026 · 807 people surveyed · https://reconmr.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/06/TXPLV-Crosstabs-1.pdfKen Paxton: 45% · Slingshot Strategies · May 28, 2026 · 1,670 people surveyed · https://drive.google.com/file/d/1lCiaC7xw4VTmc2I4aHRZ-Pi3McLOwsrI/viewKen Paxton: 45% · Texas Southern University Barbara Jordan Public Policy Research and Survey Center · May 6, 2026 · 1,223 people surveyed · https://drive.google.com/file/d/1_iPARgG4ScAjPXaqXfHse9R9hnvGS6If/viewKen Paxton: 41% · Texas Public Opinion Research · Apr 20, 2026 · 1,018 people surveyed · https://www.texastribune.org/wp-content/uploads/2026/04/TPOR-April-2026-TXSEN-poll.pdfKen Paxton: 43% · Impact Research · Mar 17, 2026 · 900 people surveyed · https://www.politico.com/live-updates/2026/03/20/congress/texas-senate-talarico-cornyn-paxton-poll-00837336Ken Paxton: 46% · University of Houston/YouGov · Jan 31, 2026 · 1,502 people surveyed · https://www.uh.edu/hobby/primary2026/senate.pdfKen Paxton: 44% · Ragnar Research Partners · Nov 17, 2025 · 1,000 people surveyed · https://www.politico.com/f/?id=0000019a-9d57-df0f-abfa-fd7fac900000Nov 17, 2025Nov 1, 2026
James TalaricoKen Paxton

Dots show reported support; connecting lines are not an average or forecast.

How to read this chart

Party colors: Republican red, Democratic blue, Independent purple. Other or unmatched affiliations are gray. Dash patterns distinguish candidates sharing a color.

Dots show reported support. Lines connect surveys over time—not an average or forecast. Pollsters can differ. Missing values and multiple surveys ending on the same date break the lines.

No average, trend estimate, or win probability. Different matchups and populations are not combined. Dates mark the last day people were surveyed. The vertical scale always starts at zero; use “Full 0–100% scale” to compare charts on the same scale. The number of people surveyed is the survey sample size, not the number supporting a candidate. Select “Survey source” to inspect every report, including overlapping dots.

Individual survey reports (27)

Latest surveys · selected matchup

Individual reports. Original sources and methodology below.

Fieldwork –
Reported support

0–100% scale · Listed alphabetically

Sample
1,215 people surveyed
Population
Likely voters
Survey details & methodology
Reported margin of error
Not supplied in this feed
Method
Not supplied in this feed
Sponsors
Not supplied in this feed
Pollster/sponsor partisan label
Not supplied
Internal poll
Not marked internal by provider
Added by provider
Provider ID
us-202thed5a5e7e5
2026 Texas

ActiVote

Fieldwork –
Reported support

0–100% scale · Listed alphabetically

Sample
400 people surveyed
Population
Likely voters
Survey details & methodology
Reported margin of error
Not supplied in this feed
Method
Not supplied in this feed
Sponsors
Not supplied in this feed
Pollster/sponsor partisan label
Not supplied
Internal poll
Not marked internal by provider
Added by provider
Provider ID
us-202acta7d9392c
Fieldwork –
Reported support

0–100% scale · Listed alphabetically

Sample
1,221 people surveyed
Population
Likely voters
Survey details & methodology
Reported margin of error
Not supplied in this feed
Method
Not supplied in this feed
Sponsors
Not supplied in this feed
Pollster/sponsor partisan label
Not supplied
Internal poll
Not marked internal by provider
Added by provider
Provider ID
us-202qua5e695b57
2026 Texas

A2 Insights

Fieldwork –
Reported support

0–100% scale · Listed alphabetically

Sample
631 people surveyed
Population
Likely voters
Survey details & methodology
Reported margin of error
Not supplied in this feed
Method
Not supplied in this feed
Sponsors
Not supplied in this feed
Pollster/sponsor partisan label
Not supplied
Internal poll
Not marked internal by provider
Added by provider
Provider ID
us-202a2 c2344bd1
2026 Texas

CNN/SSRS

Fieldwork –
Reported support

0–100% scale · Listed alphabetically

Sample
923 people surveyed
Population
Likely voters
Survey details & methodology
Reported margin of error
Not supplied in this feed
Method
Not supplied in this feed
Sponsors
Not supplied in this feed
Pollster/sponsor partisan label
Not supplied
Internal poll
Not marked internal by provider
Added by provider
Provider ID
us-202cnn4329221b
2026 Texas

ActiVote

Fieldwork –
Reported support

0–100% scale · Listed alphabetically

Sample
400 people surveyed
Population
Likely voters
Survey details & methodology
Reported margin of error
Not supplied in this feed
Method
Not supplied in this feed
Sponsors
Not supplied in this feed
Pollster/sponsor partisan label
Not supplied
Internal poll
Not marked internal by provider
Added by provider
Provider ID
us-202actbd0ac41f
Fieldwork –
Reported support

0–100% scale · Listed alphabetically

Sample
1,398 people surveyed
Population
Likely voters
Survey details & methodology
Reported margin of error
Not supplied in this feed
Method
Not supplied in this feed
Sponsors
Fox News
Pollster/sponsor partisan label
Not supplied
Internal poll
Not marked internal by provider
Added by provider
Provider ID
us-202bea368d4e46
2026 Texas

ActiVote

Fieldwork –
Reported support

0–100% scale · Listed alphabetically

Sample
400 people surveyed
Population
Likely voters
Survey details & methodology
Reported margin of error
Not supplied in this feed
Method
Not supplied in this feed
Sponsors
Not supplied in this feed
Pollster/sponsor partisan label
Not supplied
Internal poll
Not marked internal by provider
Added by provider
Provider ID
us-202act4e413645

Labels and figures are supplied by VoteHub. A listed matchup does not establish ballot qualification or primary/general-election status unless the source explicitly says so. Unlisted responses may include undecided voters or other choices; the displayed figures are not rescaled to total 100%.

Polling compilation: VoteHub · CC BY 4.0. Election.org normalizes dates, matches races, and visualizes reported results; it does not estimate outcomes. Original survey links are attached to each report.

Automatic hourly sync. Across all feeds, the latest survey ended 2026-11-02. Check the field dates above for this selection. Feed update status →

Last successful feed updates
  • Senate: 11/9/2026, 4:17:20 AM UTC · 574 survey records
  • House: 11/9/2026, 4:17:20 AM UTC · 190 survey records
  • Governor: 11/9/2026, 4:17:20 AM UTC · 459 survey records
  • National preference: 11/9/2026, 4:17:20 AM UTC · 546 survey records

An update time is when we checked the feed, not when a survey was conducted. Coverage is not exhaustive.

FEC FILING RECORDS4120 distinct current financial summaries
REPORTED RECEIPTS$199,063,239.03Available summaries; shared principal-committee money counted once
REPORTED SPENDING$190,404,111.03Not outside spending
Published election schedule

Election dates

DATES MAY CHANGE
PRIMARYMarch 3, 2026FEC congressional primary calendar
RUNOFFMay 26, 2026Confirm qualification rules with the state election office.
GENERALNovember 3, 2026Regular federal general election.

The FEC publishes this calendar but does not administer elections. State and local election officials determine ballot access, voting methods, and official candidate lists.

Sources and filing coverage
FILING RECORDS

Not the certified ballot.

Seat identity and the election schedule are verified separately from FEC filings. A filing does not establish ballot qualification.

How we got here

DEM primary · 2026-03-03

Official state archive results · checked 2026-10-11

Source updated Mar 23, 2026, 7:21 PM Central.

CandidateVotesVote shareProgression sources
James Talarico1,216,41252.4%

Certified November candidate ↗

Jasmine Crockett1,071,90046.2%—
Ahmad R. Hassan30,8751.3%—

Texas Secretary of State results archive ↗. Select “2026 DEMOCRATIC PRIMARY ELECTION” and U. S. Senator. Vote shares are calculated from all 2,319,187 listed votes. Runoff participation and November certification are independently sourced; vote totals alone do not establish either.

REP primary · 2026-03-03

Official state archive results · checked 2026-10-11

Source updated Apr 14, 2026, 3:48 PM Central.

CandidateVotesVote shareProgression sources
John Cornyn910,38242.0%

Appears in official May runoff ↗

Ken Paxton878,56440.5%

Appears in official May runoff ↗

Certified November candidate ↗

Wesley Hunt293,25013.5%—
Sara Canady26,3551.2%—
Anna Bender24,1671.1%—
Gulrez "Gus" Khan15,8730.7%—
John O. Adefope9,2840.4%—
Virgil John Bierschwale9,0350.4%—

Texas Secretary of State results archive ↗. Select “2026 REPUBLICAN PRIMARY ELECTION” and U. S. Senator. Vote shares are calculated from all 2,166,910 listed votes. Runoff participation and November certification are independently sourced; vote totals alone do not establish either.

REP runoff · 2026-05-26

Official state archive results · checked 2026-10-11

Source updated Jun 12, 2026, 2:23 PM Central.

CandidateVotesVote shareProgression sources
Ken Paxton888,19663.8%

Certified November candidate ↗

John Cornyn503,43836.2%—

Texas Secretary of State results archive ↗. Select “2026 REPUBLICAN PRIMARY RUNOFF ELECTION” and U. S. Senator. Vote shares are calculated from all 1,391,634 listed votes. Runoff participation and November certification are independently sourced; vote totals alone do not establish either.

How to use this race page

November candidate names come from the official general-election sources linked beside each person. Registered write-ins have their own list. FEC filing history preserves earlier primary and other campaign records; filing or fundraising alone does not establish November eligibility. Confirm your full local sample ballot with the election authority.

Sources & notes
Source & freshness

Candidate recordsFederal Election Commission ↗

DatesOfficial election schedule ↗

Filing data checked2026-10-29

Seat & election checked2026-09-16

Verify seat / election · www.senate.gov ↗

Verify seat / election · www.fec.gov ↗

Ballot statusOfficial November list

No verified prediction-market match is connected for this race yet. See national House and Senate market prices →

RewatchThe People’s Election