FILING RECORDS
Not the certified ballot.
Seat identity and the election schedule are verified separately from FEC filings. A filing does not establish ballot qualification.
Permanent contest record · 2026 federal election
2026 Texas U.S. Senate Election.
See the latest available surveys, explore candidate records, and check when to vote. Polling matchups and FEC filing records do not establish the final ballot.
U.S. SenateTexas U.S. SenateGeneral: November 3, 202618 filing records
POLLING · SURVEYS, NOT PREDICTIONS
48 survey recordsWhat do the polls say?
Hover or tap a date to see the survey and source.
James TalaricoKen PaxtonTed Brown
Dots show reported support. Lines connect surveys over time—not an average or forecast. Pollsters can differ. Missing values and multiple surveys ending on the same date break the lines.
How to read this chart
No average, trend estimate, or win probability. Different matchups and populations are not combined. Dates mark the last day people were surveyed. The vertical scale always starts at zero; use “Full 0–100% scale” to compare charts on the same scale. The number of people surveyed is the survey sample size, not the number supporting a candidate. Select “Survey source” to inspect every report, including overlapping dots.
Latest surveys · selected matchup
| Survey & field dates | Reported support | Sample & disclosures |
|---|---|---|
| Slingshot Strategies ↗ Sep 19, 2026 – Sep 22, 2026 2026 Texas | James Talarico: 49% Ken Paxton: 45% Ted Brown: 3% | Likely voters · 1,007 people surveyed Survey detailsReported margin of error: Not supplied in this feed Method: Not supplied in this feed Sponsors: Texas Public Opinion Research Partisan label: Not supplied Internal poll: Not marked internal by provider Added by provider: Sep 25, 2026 Provider ID: us-202sli284b821d |
| Texas Southern University Barbara Jordan Public Policy Research and Survey Center ↗ Sep 15, 2026 – Sep 19, 2026 2026 Texas | James Talarico: 47% Ken Paxton: 46% Ted Brown: 3% | Likely voters · 1,800 people surveyed Survey detailsReported margin of error: Not supplied in this feed Method: Not supplied in this feed Sponsors: Not supplied in this feed Partisan label: Not supplied Internal poll: Not marked internal by provider Added by provider: Sep 22, 2026 Provider ID: us-202tex6938a787 |
| Emerson College ↗ Sep 12, 2026 – Sep 14, 2026 2026 Texas | James Talarico: 47% Ken Paxton: 46% Ted Brown: 2% | Likely voters · 1,000 people surveyed Survey detailsReported margin of error: Not supplied in this feed Method: Not supplied in this feed Sponsors: Nexstar Media Partisan label: Not supplied Internal poll: Not marked internal by provider Added by provider: Sep 17, 2026 Provider ID: us-202emee56d4394 |
| InsiderAdvantage ↗ Sep 8, 2026 – Sep 9, 2026 2026 Texas | James Talarico: 47.1% Ken Paxton: 45.6% Ted Brown: 2.2% | Likely voters · 1,200 people surveyed Survey detailsReported margin of error: Not supplied in this feed Method: Not supplied in this feed Sponsors: Not supplied in this feed Partisan label: Not supplied Internal poll: Not marked internal by provider Added by provider: Sep 11, 2026 Provider ID: us-202ins8df69531 |
| Slingshot Strategies ↗ Aug 21, 2026 – Aug 24, 2026 2026 Texas | James Talarico: 48% Ken Paxton: 42% Ted Brown: 1% | Likely voters · 1,000 people surveyed Survey detailsReported margin of error: Not supplied in this feed Method: Not supplied in this feed Sponsors: Texas Public Opinion Research Partisan label: Not supplied Internal poll: Not marked internal by provider Added by provider: Aug 27, 2026 Provider ID: us-202sli394bd9a0 |
| Texas Southern University Barbara Jordan Public Policy Research and Survey Center ↗ Jul 27, 2026 – Jul 30, 2026 2026 Texas | James Talarico: 47% Ken Paxton: 45% Ted Brown: 2% | Likely voters · 1,200 people surveyed Survey detailsReported margin of error: Not supplied in this feed Method: Not supplied in this feed Sponsors: Not supplied in this feed Partisan label: Not supplied Internal poll: Not marked internal by provider Added by provider: Aug 4, 2026 Provider ID: us-202texee0a6ae6 |
| Slingshot Strategies ↗ Jul 15, 2026 – Jul 17, 2026 2026 Texas | James Talarico: 45% Ken Paxton: 40% Ted Brown: 1% | Likely voters · 1,048 people surveyed Survey detailsReported margin of error: Not supplied in this feed Method: Not supplied in this feed Sponsors: Texas Public Opinion Research Partisan label: Not supplied Internal poll: Not marked internal by provider Added by provider: Jul 28, 2026 Provider ID: us-202sli6204659f |
| Public Policy Polling ↗ May 22, 2026 – May 23, 2026 2026 Texas | James Talarico: 45% Ken Paxton: 38% Ted Brown: 3% | Likely voters · 643 people surveyed Survey detailsReported margin of error: Not supplied in this feed Method: Not supplied in this feed Sponsors: Lone Star Rising PAC Partisan label: DEM Internal poll: Not marked internal by provider Added by provider: May 28, 2026 Provider ID: us-202pub121c904c |
Labels and figures are supplied by VoteHub. A listed matchup does not establish ballot qualification or primary/general-election status unless the source explicitly says so. Unlisted responses may include undecided voters or other choices; the displayed figures are not rescaled to total 100%.
Polling compilation: VoteHub · CC BY 4.0. Election.org normalizes dates, matches races, and visualizes reported results; it does not estimate outcomes. Original survey links are attached to each report.
Automatic hourly sync. Latest survey ended 2026-09-24. Feed update status →
Last successful feed updates
- Senate: 9/29/2026, 8:17:19 AM UTC · 313 survey records
- House: 9/29/2026, 8:17:19 AM UTC · 86 survey records
- Governor: 9/29/2026, 8:17:19 AM UTC · 250 survey records
- National preference: 9/29/2026, 8:17:19 AM UTC · 303 survey records
An update time is when we checked the feed, not when a survey was conducted. Coverage is not exhaustive.
Same rows for every filing record
2026 candidate research table
Listed alphabetically, with equal fields for each candidate. A missing summary stays “Not reported”; it never becomes zero.
- Receipts
- $0.00
- Spent
- $0.00
- Cash
- $0.00
- Receipts
- Not reported
- Spent
- Not reported
- Cash
- Not reported
- Receipts
- $7,629,042.50
- Spent
- $7,772,468.72
- Cash
- $708.42
- Receipts
- $11,665.57
- Spent
- $11,565.57
- Cash
- $200.00
- Receipts
- $10,793.07
- Spent
- $11,438.76
- Cash
- -$645.69
- Receipts
- $9,324.49
- Spent
- $8,368.73
- Cash
- $955.76
- Receipts
- $68,555,930.42
- Spent
- $47,007,775.34
- Cash
- $21,548,155.08
- Receipts
- $11,096,965.96
- Spent
- $11,096,965.96
- Cash
- $0.00
- Receipts
- $8,604,233.81
- Spent
- $12,184,396.50
- Cash
- $542,119.97
- Receipts
- $156,626.79
- Spent
- $157,571.33
- Cash
- $0.00
- Receipts
- $6,991.29
- Spent
- $6,991.29
- Cash
- $0.00
- Receipts
- $770.00
- Spent
- $7,490.84
- Cash
- -$429.81
- Receipts
- $665,422.59
- Spent
- $454,248.15
- Cash
- $2,903.14
- Receipts
- $7,459.52
- Spent
- $6,376.43
- Cash
- $1,150.97
- Receipts
- $2,500.00
- Spent
- $3,106.71
- Cash
- $0.00
- Receipts
- $9,988.18
- Spent
- $9,657.03
- Cash
- $383.20
- Receipts
- $9,248,698.53
- Spent
- $7,492,915.18
- Cash
- $1,755,783.35
- Receipts
- $2,129,887.39
- Spent
- $4,587,880.36
- Cash
- $29,183.19
Published election schedule
Primary, runoff, and general dates
The FEC publishes this calendar but does not administer elections. State and local election officials determine ballot access, voting methods, and official candidate lists.
How to use this race page
Research the field without inventing certainty.
What is verified
FEC identity, office, state or district, filing classification, and available campaign-finance summaries; the FEC-published election dates are separately sourced.
What is not verified
Ballot qualification, ballot order, withdrawal status after the bulk file, primary eligibility, or a complete official sample ballot.
What to do next
Use each candidate record for money and source history, then confirm the final ballot through the responsible state or local election authority.
No verified prediction-market match is connected for this race yet. See national House and Senate market prices →