Election.orgRaces & polls
2026 · Governor

Arizona governor election

Election Day: November 3, 2026. Meet the published candidates, compare reported surveys and make your voting plan.

Make your voting plan

Arizona

Maricopa and Pima voters should use the county links in this tool.

Who is on the November ballot?

November 3, 2026 · 4 printed ballot names · alphabetical

Official November list checked .

Registered November write-in candidates

These names belong on the official write-in list, rather than the printed candidate list.

Dates for November 3

Download calendar ↓

Partial coverage: only the dated entries below have been checked. Confirm other deadlines and exceptions with your election office.

Arizona · Sourced election dates
ActionDateDetails and source
Register online
Passed
Registration closes at 11:59 p.m.; confirm method-specific receipt or postmark rules.
Official source ↗
Register by mail
Passed
Registration deadline; follow the official registration form mailing instructions.
Official source ↗
Register in person
Passed
Registration deadline for the November general election.
Official source ↗
Early voting begins
Passed
Early voting begins and early ballots are mailed.
Official source ↗
Early voting ends
Passed
Last day for regular in-person early voting; confirm county hours and emergency exceptions.
Official source ↗
Request mail ballot
Passed
Last day to request an early ballot by mail; confirm county cutoff time.
Official source ↗

Checked 2026-10-16. Confirm local details and exceptions with your election office.

POLLING · SURVEYS, NOT PREDICTIONS

What do the polls say?

22 survey records

Reported support, with field dates and original sources. Surveys cover 2026 contests, including earlier cycle history from 2025. Older or hypothetical matchups do not establish who is on the current ballot.

Simple average, not a forecast

Last 30 days · Same matchup and population · Equal weight per pollster

Reported support · 0–100%

Likely voters

3 polls

–

1 of 3 internal or partisan surveys

  • Katie Hobbs50.0%
  • Andy Biggs44.3%
  • Teri Hourihan1.3%
  • Risa Lombardo0.3%

5.7 pts between the two highest answers

Included surveys & calculation

Add each answer’s reported support across these 3 surveys and divide by 3. No house effects, sample weights, undecided allocation or error band is applied. Figures are not rescaled to total 100%.

Registered voters

1 poll

–

  • Katie Hobbs49.0%
  • Andy Biggs43.0%

6.0 pts between the two highest answers

Included surveys & calculation

Add each answer’s reported support across these 1 surveys and divide by 1. No house effects, sample weights, undecided allocation or error band is applied. Figures are not rescaled to total 100%.

How the average works

Each pollster’s latest general-election survey ending within the last 30 days, with equal weight. Reviewed candidate identities join spelling variants; different matchups and voter populations stay separate. Percentages describe reported support, not a chance of winning.

Newest fieldwork appears first. When dates tie, the default favors more pollsters not marked internal or partisan in this 30-day window. Source labels remain visible; this is not a pollster-quality rating. Incomplete numeric matchups are excluded from this calculation but remain in the survey history. Full methodology →

Survey history

Hover or tap a date to see the survey and source.

Polling history for the selected matchup6 survey observations. Vertical scale: reported support from 0 to 60 percent. Select a survey date to read its source. Arrow keys move between dates. Exact figures and source links follow in the survey reports.0%15%30%45%60%Andy Biggs: 45% · Noble Predictive Insights · Oct 28, 2026 · 511 people surveyed · https://www.noblepredictiveinsights.com/post/az-poll-of-record-hobbs-6-yee-bucks-the-trendAndy Biggs: 43% · Kreate Strategies · Oct 27, 2026 · 900 people surveyed · https://americanencore.org/blog/arizona-governor-survey-showing-our-workAndy Biggs: 45% · GrayHouse · Oct 20, 2026 · 550 people surveyed · https://static.politico.com/18/20/7b3a12e64e32a9bdf387821c452c/arizona-governor-ag-treasurer-toplines.pdfAndy Biggs: 34% · BSP Research · Sep 4, 2026 · Number of people surveyed not supplied · https://linktr.ee/hrc_asuAndy Biggs: 34% · HighGround · Aug 18, 2026 · 400 people surveyed · https://azhighground.com/hobbs-builds-double-digit-lead-in-arizonaAndy Biggs: 35% · Noble Predictive Insights · Aug 13, 2026 · 923 people surveyed · https://www.noblepredictiveinsights.com/post/katie-hobbs-leads-andy-biggs-in-the-grand-canyon-stateKatie Hobbs: 51% · Noble Predictive Insights · Oct 28, 2026 · 511 people surveyed · https://www.noblepredictiveinsights.com/post/az-poll-of-record-hobbs-6-yee-bucks-the-trendKatie Hobbs: 48% · Kreate Strategies · Oct 27, 2026 · 900 people surveyed · https://americanencore.org/blog/arizona-governor-survey-showing-our-workKatie Hobbs: 51% · GrayHouse · Oct 20, 2026 · 550 people surveyed · https://static.politico.com/18/20/7b3a12e64e32a9bdf387821c452c/arizona-governor-ag-treasurer-toplines.pdfKatie Hobbs: 47% · BSP Research · Sep 4, 2026 · Number of people surveyed not supplied · https://linktr.ee/hrc_asuKatie Hobbs: 50% · HighGround · Aug 18, 2026 · 400 people surveyed · https://azhighground.com/hobbs-builds-double-digit-lead-in-arizonaKatie Hobbs: 48% · Noble Predictive Insights · Aug 13, 2026 · 923 people surveyed · https://www.noblepredictiveinsights.com/post/katie-hobbs-leads-andy-biggs-in-the-grand-canyon-stateRisa Lombardo: 0% · Noble Predictive Insights · Oct 28, 2026 · 511 people surveyed · https://www.noblepredictiveinsights.com/post/az-poll-of-record-hobbs-6-yee-bucks-the-trendRisa Lombardo: 1% · Kreate Strategies · Oct 27, 2026 · 900 people surveyed · https://americanencore.org/blog/arizona-governor-survey-showing-our-workRisa Lombardo: 0% · GrayHouse · Oct 20, 2026 · 550 people surveyed · https://static.politico.com/18/20/7b3a12e64e32a9bdf387821c452c/arizona-governor-ag-treasurer-toplines.pdfRisa Lombardo: 1% · BSP Research · Sep 4, 2026 · Number of people surveyed not supplied · https://linktr.ee/hrc_asuRisa Lombardo: 1% · HighGround · Aug 18, 2026 · 400 people surveyed · https://azhighground.com/hobbs-builds-double-digit-lead-in-arizonaRisa Lombardo: 2% · Noble Predictive Insights · Aug 13, 2026 · 923 people surveyed · https://www.noblepredictiveinsights.com/post/katie-hobbs-leads-andy-biggs-in-the-grand-canyon-stateTeri Hourihan: 1% · Noble Predictive Insights · Oct 28, 2026 · 511 people surveyed · https://www.noblepredictiveinsights.com/post/az-poll-of-record-hobbs-6-yee-bucks-the-trendTeri Hourihan: 1% · Kreate Strategies · Oct 27, 2026 · 900 people surveyed · https://americanencore.org/blog/arizona-governor-survey-showing-our-workTeri Hourihan: 2% · GrayHouse · Oct 20, 2026 · 550 people surveyed · https://static.politico.com/18/20/7b3a12e64e32a9bdf387821c452c/arizona-governor-ag-treasurer-toplines.pdfTeri Hourihan: 2% · BSP Research · Sep 4, 2026 · Number of people surveyed not supplied · https://linktr.ee/hrc_asuTeri Hourihan: 2% · HighGround · Aug 18, 2026 · 400 people surveyed · https://azhighground.com/hobbs-builds-double-digit-lead-in-arizonaTeri Hourihan: 1% · Noble Predictive Insights · Aug 13, 2026 · 923 people surveyed · https://www.noblepredictiveinsights.com/post/katie-hobbs-leads-andy-biggs-in-the-grand-canyon-stateAug 13, 2026Oct 28, 2026
Andy BiggsKatie HobbsRisa LombardoTeri Hourihan

Dots show reported support; connecting lines are not an average or forecast.

How to read this chart

Party colors: Republican red, Democratic blue, Independent purple. Other or unmatched affiliations are gray. Dash patterns distinguish candidates sharing a color.

Dots show reported support. Lines connect surveys over time—not an average or forecast. Pollsters can differ. Missing values and multiple surveys ending on the same date break the lines.

No average, trend estimate, or win probability. Different matchups and populations are not combined. Dates mark the last day people were surveyed. The vertical scale always starts at zero; use “Full 0–100% scale” to compare charts on the same scale. The number of people surveyed is the survey sample size, not the number supporting a candidate. Select “Survey source” to inspect every report, including overlapping dots.

Individual survey reports (6)

Latest surveys · selected matchup

Individual reports. Original sources and methodology below.

Fieldwork –
Reported support
  • Andy BiggsRepublican45%
  • Katie HobbsDemocratic51%
  • Risa Lombardo0%
  • Teri HourihanIndependentSurvey wording: Teri Ann Hourihan1%

0–100% scale · Listed alphabetically

Sample
511 people surveyed
Population
Likely voters
Survey details & methodology
Reported margin of error
Not supplied in this feed
Method
Not supplied in this feed
Sponsors
Not supplied in this feed
Pollster/sponsor partisan label
Not supplied
Internal poll
Not marked internal by provider
Added by provider
Provider ID
gov202noba6484d77
Fieldwork –
Reported support
  • Andy BiggsRepublican43%
  • Katie HobbsDemocratic48%
  • Risa Lombardo1%
  • Teri HourihanIndependentSurvey wording: Teri Ann Hourihan1%

0–100% scale · Listed alphabetically

Sample
900 people surveyed
Population
Likely voters
Survey details & methodology
Reported margin of error
Not supplied in this feed
Method
Not supplied in this feed
Sponsors
American Encore
Pollster/sponsor partisan label
REP
Internal poll
Not marked internal by provider
Added by provider
Provider ID
gov202kre54bb316e
2026 Arizona

GrayHouse

Fieldwork –
Reported support
  • Andy BiggsRepublican45%
  • Katie HobbsDemocratic51%
  • Risa Lombardo0%
  • Teri HourihanIndependentSurvey wording: Teri Ann Hourihan2%

0–100% scale · Listed alphabetically

Sample
550 people surveyed
Population
Likely voters
Survey details & methodology
Reported margin of error
Not supplied in this feed
Method
Not supplied in this feed
Sponsors
Not supplied in this feed
Pollster/sponsor partisan label
Not supplied
Internal poll
Not marked internal by provider
Added by provider
Provider ID
gov202gra20c962ec
2026 Arizona

BSP Research

Fieldwork –
Reported support
  • Andy BiggsRepublican34%
  • Katie HobbsDemocratic47%
  • Risa Lombardo1%
  • Teri HourihanIndependentSurvey wording: Teri Ann Hourihan2%

0–100% scale · Listed alphabetically

Sample
Number of people surveyed not supplied
Population
Likely voters
Survey details & methodology
Reported margin of error
Not supplied in this feed
Method
Not supplied in this feed
Sponsors
Arizona State University Center for Latina/os and American Politics Research, Arizona State University Hispanic Research Center
Pollster/sponsor partisan label
Not supplied
Internal poll
Not marked internal by provider
Added by provider
Provider ID
gov202bsp579091db
2026 Arizona

HighGround

Fieldwork –
Reported support
  • Andy BiggsRepublican34%
  • Katie HobbsDemocratic50%
  • Risa Lombardo1%
  • Teri HourihanIndependent2%

0–100% scale · Listed alphabetically

Sample
400 people surveyed
Population
Likely voters
Survey details & methodology
Reported margin of error
Not supplied in this feed
Method
Not supplied in this feed
Sponsors
Not supplied in this feed
Pollster/sponsor partisan label
Not supplied
Internal poll
Not marked internal by provider
Added by provider
Provider ID
gov202hig20c1b034
Fieldwork –
Reported support
  • Andy BiggsRepublican35%
  • Katie HobbsDemocratic48%
  • Risa Lombardo2%
  • Teri HourihanIndependentSurvey wording: Teri Ann Hourihan1%

0–100% scale · Listed alphabetically

Sample
923 people surveyed
Population
Likely voters
Survey details & methodology
Reported margin of error
Not supplied in this feed
Method
Not supplied in this feed
Sponsors
Not supplied in this feed
Pollster/sponsor partisan label
Not supplied
Internal poll
Not marked internal by provider
Added by provider
Provider ID
gov202nobb8fa340d

Labels and figures are supplied by VoteHub. A listed matchup does not establish ballot qualification or primary/general-election status unless the source explicitly says so. Unlisted responses may include undecided voters or other choices; the displayed figures are not rescaled to total 100%.

Polling compilation: VoteHub · CC BY 4.0. Election.org normalizes dates, matches races, and visualizes reported results; it does not estimate outcomes. Original survey links are attached to each report.

Automatic hourly sync. Across all feeds, the latest survey ended 2026-10-30. Check the field dates above for this selection. Feed update status →

Last successful feed updates
  • Senate: 11/1/2026, 5:17:19 AM UTC · 548 survey records
  • House: 11/1/2026, 5:17:19 AM UTC · 184 survey records
  • Governor: 11/1/2026, 5:17:19 AM UTC · 428 survey records
  • National preference: 11/1/2026, 5:17:19 AM UTC · 545 survey records

An update time is when we checked the feed, not when a survey was conducted. Coverage is not exhaustive.

Follow campaign money

Governor campaigns file with their state’s campaign-finance authorities. Federal candidate totals do not describe this race.

SECRETARY OF STATE ↗

CITIZENS CLEAN ELECTIONS COMMISSION ↗

State campaign-finance sources →

No verified prediction-market match is connected for this race yet. See national House and Senate market prices →

Election inventory: National Governors Association ↗ · checked 2026-10-11. Ballot status comes from the separate state certification when present.