2026 · Governor

New Hampshire governor election

Election Day: November 3, 2026. Meet the published candidates, compare reported surveys and make your voting plan.

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New Hampshire

Who is on the ballot?

The state’s certified candidate list is not yet loaded here. Check the official election list ↗

Your election deadlines

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Official deadlines ↗
POLLING · SURVEYS, NOT PREDICTIONS

What do the polls say?

12 survey records

Individual surveys of 2026 contests, including earlier cycle history from 2025. Matchups and populations stay separate; older or hypothetical matchups do not establish who is on the current ballot.

Simple average, not a forecast

Each pollster’s latest general-election survey ending within the last 30 days, with equal weight. Exact matchups and voter populations stay separate. Percentages describe reported support, not a chance of winning.

Likely voters · 1 poll

Sep 15, 2026–Sep 22, 2026 · Lead between the two highest answers: 11.0 percentage points

Reported answerAverage support
Kelly Ayotte52.0%
Cinde Warmington41.0%
Included surveys & calculation

Add each answer’s reported support across these 1 surveys and divide by 1. No house effects, sample weights, undecided allocation or error band is applied. Incomplete numeric matchups are excluded from this calculation but remain in the survey history. Full methodology →

Likely voters · 1 poll

Sep 17, 2026–Sep 21, 2026 · Lead between the two highest answers: 4.0 percentage points

Reported answerAverage support
Kelly Ayotte47.0%
Cinde Warmington43.0%
Stephen Villee2.0%
Included surveys & calculation

Add each answer’s reported support across these 1 surveys and divide by 1. No house effects, sample weights, undecided allocation or error band is applied. Incomplete numeric matchups are excluded from this calculation but remain in the survey history. Full methodology →

Hover or tap a date to see the survey and source.

Polling history for the selected matchup5 survey observations. Vertical scale: reported support from 0 to 60 percent. Select a survey date to read its source. Arrow keys move between dates. Exact figures and source links follow in the survey reports.0%15%30%45%60%Cinde Warmington: 41% · The New York Times/Siena University · Sep 22, 2026 · 613 people surveyed · https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2026/09/25/polls/times-siena-poll-nh-crosstabs.htmlCinde Warmington: 34% · co/efficient · Sep 11, 2026 · 958 people surveyed · https://battlegrounds.coefficient.org/nh/Cinde Warmington: 39% · University of New Hampshire · Aug 24, 2026 · 1,878 people surveyed · https://scholars.unh.edu/survey_center_polls/991/Cinde Warmington: 38% · Saint Anselm College Survey Center · Aug 18, 2026 · 1,411 people surveyed · https://www.anselm.edu/about/anselmian-hub/news/new-saint-anselm-college-poll-finds-republicans-facing-midterm-headwinds-democratic-lead-widensCinde Warmington: 39% · University of New Hampshire · Apr 21, 2026 · 1,117 people surveyed · https://scholars.unh.edu/survey_center_polls/944/Kelly Ayotte: 52% · The New York Times/Siena University · Sep 22, 2026 · 613 people surveyed · https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2026/09/25/polls/times-siena-poll-nh-crosstabs.htmlKelly Ayotte: 55% · co/efficient · Sep 11, 2026 · 958 people surveyed · https://battlegrounds.coefficient.org/nh/Kelly Ayotte: 49% · University of New Hampshire · Aug 24, 2026 · 1,878 people surveyed · https://scholars.unh.edu/survey_center_polls/991/Kelly Ayotte: 49% · Saint Anselm College Survey Center · Aug 18, 2026 · 1,411 people surveyed · https://www.anselm.edu/about/anselmian-hub/news/new-saint-anselm-college-poll-finds-republicans-facing-midterm-headwinds-democratic-lead-widensKelly Ayotte: 47% · University of New Hampshire · Apr 21, 2026 · 1,117 people surveyed · https://scholars.unh.edu/survey_center_polls/944/Apr 21, 2026Sep 22, 2026
Cinde WarmingtonKelly Ayotte

Party colors: Republican red, Democratic blue, Independent purple. Other or unmatched affiliations are gray. Dash patterns distinguish candidates sharing a color.

Dots show reported support. Lines connect surveys over time—not an average or forecast. Pollsters can differ. Missing values and multiple surveys ending on the same date break the lines.

How to read this chart

No average, trend estimate, or win probability. Different matchups and populations are not combined. Dates mark the last day people were surveyed. The vertical scale always starts at zero; use “Full 0–100% scale” to compare charts on the same scale. The number of people surveyed is the survey sample size, not the number supporting a candidate. Select “Survey source” to inspect every report, including overlapping dots.

Individual survey reports (5)

Latest surveys · selected matchup

Individual reports. Original sources and methodology below.

Fieldwork –
Reported support
  • Cinde WarmingtonDemocratic41%
  • Kelly AyotteRepublican52%

0–100% scale · Listed alphabetically

Sample
613 people surveyed
Population
Likely voters
Survey details & methodology
Reported margin of error
Not supplied in this feed
Method
Not supplied in this feed
Sponsors
Not supplied in this feed
Pollster/sponsor partisan label
Not supplied
Internal poll
Not marked internal by provider
Added by provider
Provider ID
gov202the5a3a4173
2026 New Hampshire

co/efficient

Fieldwork –
Reported support
  • Cinde WarmingtonDemocratic34%
  • Kelly AyotteRepublican55%

0–100% scale · Listed alphabetically

Sample
958 people surveyed
Population
Likely voters
Survey details & methodology
Reported margin of error
Not supplied in this feed
Method
Not supplied in this feed
Sponsors
Not supplied in this feed
Pollster/sponsor partisan label
Not supplied
Internal poll
Not marked internal by provider
Added by provider
Provider ID
gov202co/fb4b800b
Fieldwork –
Reported support
  • Cinde WarmingtonDemocratic39%
  • Kelly AyotteRepublican49%

0–100% scale · Listed alphabetically

Sample
1,878 people surveyed
Population
Likely voters
Survey details & methodology
Reported margin of error
Not supplied in this feed
Method
Not supplied in this feed
Sponsors
Not supplied in this feed
Pollster/sponsor partisan label
Not supplied
Internal poll
Not marked internal by provider
Added by provider
Provider ID
gov202uni9b4ef0cd
Fieldwork –
Reported support
  • Cinde WarmingtonDemocratic38%
  • Kelly AyotteRepublican49%

0–100% scale · Listed alphabetically

Sample
1,411 people surveyed
Population
Likely voters
Survey details & methodology
Reported margin of error
Not supplied in this feed
Method
Not supplied in this feed
Sponsors
Not supplied in this feed
Pollster/sponsor partisan label
Not supplied
Internal poll
Not marked internal by provider
Added by provider
Provider ID
gov202saib7044af6
Fieldwork –
Reported support
  • Cinde WarmingtonDemocratic39%
  • Kelly AyotteRepublican47%

0–100% scale · Listed alphabetically

Sample
1,117 people surveyed
Population
Likely voters
Survey details & methodology
Reported margin of error
Not supplied in this feed
Method
Not supplied in this feed
Sponsors
Not supplied in this feed
Pollster/sponsor partisan label
Not supplied
Internal poll
Not marked internal by provider
Added by provider
Provider ID
gov202unida29a6f2

Labels and figures are supplied by VoteHub. A listed matchup does not establish ballot qualification or primary/general-election status unless the source explicitly says so. Unlisted responses may include undecided voters or other choices; the displayed figures are not rescaled to total 100%.

Polling compilation: VoteHub · CC BY 4.0. Election.org normalizes dates, matches races, and visualizes reported results; it does not estimate outcomes. Original survey links are attached to each report.

Saved polling snapshot in use (captured 10/2/2026, 7:57:52 AM UTC). Automatic refresh has not completed for every feed; check each survey’s field dates.

Last successful feed updates
  • Senate: 10/2/2026, 7:57:52 AM UTC · 423 survey records
  • House: 10/2/2026, 7:57:52 AM UTC · 115 survey records
  • Governor: 10/2/2026, 7:57:52 AM UTC · 297 survey records
  • National preference: 10/2/2026, 7:57:52 AM UTC · 544 survey records

An update time is when we checked the feed, not when a survey was conducted. Coverage is not exhaustive.

Follow campaign money

Governor campaigns file with their state’s campaign-finance authorities. Federal candidate totals do not describe this race.

SECRETARY OF STATE ↗

State campaign-finance sources →

No verified prediction-market match is connected for this race yet. See national House and Senate market prices →

Election inventory: National Governors Association ↗ · checked 2026-10-11. Ballot status comes from the separate state certification when present.