Election.orgRaces & polls
2026 · Governor

Tennessee governor election

Election Day: November 3, 2026. Meet the published candidates, compare reported surveys and make your voting plan.

Make your voting plan

Tennessee

Who is on the November ballot?

Open the election authority’s current November ballot list ↗

November write-in information

Write-in rules and filing deadlines vary by office and state. Check the current official list; the printed roster alone does not establish whether write-ins are eligible. Official write-in information ↗

Dates for November 3

Download calendar ↓

Partial coverage: only the dated entries below have been checked. Confirm other deadlines and exceptions with your election office.

Tennessee · Sourced election dates
ActionDateDetails and source
Early voting begins
Passed
Published general-election early-voting period begins; county source is Davidson County, so confirm your county schedule.
Official source ↗
Early voting ends
Passed
Published general-election early-voting period ends; confirm your county hours.
Official source ↗
Request mail ballot
Passed
Published last day to request an absentee ballot; confirm county receipt instructions and eligibility.
Official source ↗

Checked 2026-10-16. Confirm local details and exceptions with your election office.

POLLING · SURVEYS, NOT PREDICTIONS

What do the polls say?

5 survey records

Reported support, with field dates and original sources. Surveys cover 2026 contests, including earlier cycle history from 2025. Older or hypothetical matchups do not establish who is on the current ballot.

Simple average, not a forecast

Last 30 days · Same matchup and population · Equal weight per pollster

Reported support · 0–100%

Likely voters

1 poll

–

  • Marsha Blackburn44.0%
  • Jerri Green32.0%
  • David Hatley12.0%
  • Lauren Pinkston1.0%

12.0 pts between the two highest answers

Included surveys & calculation

Add each answer’s reported support across these 1 surveys and divide by 1. No house effects, sample weights, undecided allocation or error band is applied. Figures are not rescaled to total 100%.

How the average works

Each pollster’s latest general-election survey ending within the last 30 days, with equal weight. Reviewed candidate identities join spelling variants; different matchups and voter populations stay separate. Percentages describe reported support, not a chance of winning.

Newest fieldwork appears first. When dates tie, the default favors more pollsters not marked internal or partisan in this 30-day window. Source labels remain visible; this is not a pollster-quality rating. Incomplete numeric matchups are excluded from this calculation but remain in the survey history. Full methodology →

Survey history

Hover or tap a date to see the survey and source.

Polling history for the selected matchup2 survey observations. Vertical scale: reported support from 0 to 60 percent. Select a survey date to read its source. Arrow keys move between dates. Exact figures and source links follow in the survey reports.0%15%30%45%60%David Hatley: 12% · Spry Strategies · Oct 16, 2026 · 635 people surveyed · https://www.spryresearch.com/post/tennessee-statewide-survey-october-2026David Hatley: 19% · TargetSmart · Sep 12, 2026 · 600 people surveyed · https://www.tnprogressfund.com/pollingJerri Green: 32% · Spry Strategies · Oct 16, 2026 · 635 people surveyed · https://www.spryresearch.com/post/tennessee-statewide-survey-october-2026Jerri Green: 36% · TargetSmart · Sep 12, 2026 · 600 people surveyed · https://www.tnprogressfund.com/pollingLauren Pinkston: 1% · Spry Strategies · Oct 16, 2026 · 635 people surveyed · https://www.spryresearch.com/post/tennessee-statewide-survey-october-2026Lauren Pinkston: 2% · TargetSmart · Sep 12, 2026 · 600 people surveyed · https://www.tnprogressfund.com/pollingMarsha Blackburn: 44% · Spry Strategies · Oct 16, 2026 · 635 people surveyed · https://www.spryresearch.com/post/tennessee-statewide-survey-october-2026Marsha Blackburn: 45% · TargetSmart · Sep 12, 2026 · 600 people surveyed · https://www.tnprogressfund.com/pollingSep 12, 2026Oct 16, 2026
David HatleyJerri GreenLauren PinkstonMarsha Blackburn

Dots show reported support; connecting lines are not an average or forecast.

How to read this chart

Party colors: Republican red, Democratic blue, Independent purple. Other or unmatched affiliations are gray. Dash patterns distinguish candidates sharing a color.

Dots show reported support. Lines connect surveys over time—not an average or forecast. Pollsters can differ. Missing values and multiple surveys ending on the same date break the lines.

No average, trend estimate, or win probability. Different matchups and populations are not combined. Dates mark the last day people were surveyed. The vertical scale always starts at zero; use “Full 0–100% scale” to compare charts on the same scale. The number of people surveyed is the survey sample size, not the number supporting a candidate. Select “Survey source” to inspect every report, including overlapping dots.

Individual survey reports (2)

Latest surveys · selected matchup

Individual reports. Original sources and methodology below.

2026 Tennessee

Spry Strategies

Fieldwork –
Reported support
  • David Hatley12%
  • Jerri GreenDemocratic32%
  • Lauren Pinkston1%
  • Marsha BlackburnRepublican44%

0–100% scale · Listed alphabetically

Sample
635 people surveyed
Population
Likely voters
Survey details & methodology
Reported margin of error
Not supplied in this feed
Method
Not supplied in this feed
Sponsors
Not supplied in this feed
Pollster/sponsor partisan label
Not supplied
Internal poll
Not marked internal by provider
Added by provider
Provider ID
gov202spra0828d65
2026 Tennessee

TargetSmart

Fieldwork –
Reported support
  • David Hatley19%
  • Jerri GreenDemocratic36%
  • Lauren Pinkston2%
  • Marsha BlackburnRepublican45%

0–100% scale · Listed alphabetically

Sample
600 people surveyed
Population
Likely voters
Survey details & methodology
Reported margin of error
Not supplied in this feed
Method
Not supplied in this feed
Sponsors
The Progress Fund
Pollster/sponsor partisan label
DEM
Internal poll
Not marked internal by provider
Added by provider
Provider ID
gov202tar141bada4

Labels and figures are supplied by VoteHub. A listed matchup does not establish ballot qualification or primary/general-election status unless the source explicitly says so. Unlisted responses may include undecided voters or other choices; the displayed figures are not rescaled to total 100%.

Polling compilation: VoteHub · CC BY 4.0. Election.org normalizes dates, matches races, and visualizes reported results; it does not estimate outcomes. Original survey links are attached to each report.

Automatic hourly sync. Across all feeds, the latest survey ended 2026-10-30. Check the field dates above for this selection. Feed update status →

Last successful feed updates
  • Senate: 11/1/2026, 4:17:20 PM UTC · 548 survey records
  • House: 11/1/2026, 4:17:20 PM UTC · 184 survey records
  • Governor: 11/1/2026, 4:17:20 PM UTC · 428 survey records
  • National preference: 11/1/2026, 4:17:20 PM UTC · 545 survey records

An update time is when we checked the feed, not when a survey was conducted. Coverage is not exhaustive.

Follow campaign money

Governor campaigns file with their state’s campaign-finance authorities. Federal candidate totals do not describe this race.

BUREAU OF ETHICS AND CAMPAIGN FINANCE ↗

State campaign-finance sources →

No verified prediction-market match is connected for this race yet. See national House and Senate market prices →

Election inventory: National Governors Association ↗ · checked 2026-10-11. Ballot status comes from the separate state certification when present.